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The latest Bet Better model pick for Charlie Lindgren is Over 23.5 on Saves.
On the Saves market the model assigns a model win probability of 53%, versus the book's implied 52%, for a model edge of +1.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
NHL

Charlie Lindgren

Washington Capitals

+1.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Saves Over 23.5 -110 (1.91)
+1.1% Edge
Los Angeles Kings @ Washington Capitals
Capital One Arena, Washington, FUT · Indoor
Tue 18 Nov, 12:00AM
OUT
out
updated Apr 14, 10:50PM UTC · 97d old
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Model Probability
53.4%
Implied Probability
52.4%
Model Edge
+1.1%
Predicted Value
24.6 Saves

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves53.4%—52.4%1.87+1.1%

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AI Analysis

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Charlie Lindgren (Washington Capitals) Over 23.5 Saves (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Charlie Lindgren to make over 23.5 saves is supported by both his recent performance and model prediction. His average saves at home over the last five games is 23, very close to the betting line, indicating consistent performance in line with the proposed bet. The model prediction of 24.64 further supports this, projecting that Lindgren will exceed the line. His average shots faced in the same five games is 27.4, offering ample opportunities to reach the required saves. In addition, Lindgren's overall hit rate in the last three games is 2/3, suggesting a positive trend. Despite a high average of goals against (4.4) at home, this does not necessarily detract from the bet, as a high number of goals against can correlate with a high number of saves due to increased shots on goal.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
24.6projected saves (model)
Line23.5Model proj24.6Last oppLAKListed1

Charlie Lindgren (Washington Capitals) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 24.6 saves against a market line of 23.5 vs LAK. 1 matchup tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Charlie Lindgren (Washington Capitals) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Charlie Lindgren is Over 23.5 on Saves. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Kings vs Washington Capitals on Tuesday 18 November at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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