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NHL

Matthew Tkachuk

Florida Panthers

Value call

Matthew Tkachuk (Florida Panthers) has one live pick today: under 2.5 shots on goal that pays $220 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
47 in 100
Predicted
2.3 shots on goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 47.5% · the book's price implies 45.5% · gap +2.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Minnesota Wild @ Florida Panthers
Amerant Bank Arena, Florida, FUT · Indoor
Sat 10 Oct, 6:00 PM ET
Matthew Tkachuk
under 2.5 shots on goal
Shots on Goal Under 2.5 +120 (2.20) · $100→$220
Value call
LEANWins about 47 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$22.00 Odds+120
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Matthew Tkachuk is Under 2.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 47 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 47%, the price says 45%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 10:44AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal47.5%—45.5%2.11+2.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Florida Panthers vs Minnesota Wild: Matthew Tkachuk Under 2.5 Shots on Goal (+120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Matthew Tkachuk has been playing well, but the matchup against the Minnesota Wild might not be easy for him to rack up shots. Both teams have won five of their last ten games, which shows they are fairly even right now. Playing at Amerant Bank Arena, Tkachuk may face some tough defense that could limit his chances to shoot. The risk here is that Tkachuk could get more opportunities, but Minnesota's defense has been solid lately. With both teams looking to secure a win, expect a tightly contested game where goals might be hard to come by. Betting on under 2.5 shots for Tkachuk could be a smart choice given the circumstances.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Matthew Tkachuk has 3 goals and 7 assists (10 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
6 Oct 26@ LAK1012421:25
4 Oct 26@ ANA0111123:28
1 Oct 26@ SJS1012222:47
29 Sep 26@ CAR0002119:01
15 Apr 26vs DET0220013:19
5 Apr 26@ PIT0003021:09
4 Apr 26@ PIT0110315:41
2 Apr 26vs BOS0002118:17
31 Mar 26vs OTT1345117:13
29 Mar 26@ NYR0003119:03
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Oct 26 Minnesota Wild @ Florida Panthers Shots on Goal — — — Pending

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About This Player

Matthew Tkachuk (Florida Panthers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matthew Tkachuk is Under 2.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Wild vs Florida Panthers on Saturday 10 October at Amerant Bank Arena, Florida. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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