Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Matthew Tkachuk is Over 0.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 95 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 95%, implied 93%, edge +2.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 12:17AM UTC
NHL
Matthew Tkachuk
Florida Panthers
Latest Model Pick
Shots on Goal
Over 0.5
-1429 (1.07) · $100→$107
+2.0% Edge
Florida Panthers
@
Carolina Hurricanes
Lenovo Center, Carolina, FUT · Indoor
Wed 21 May, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
95 in 100
Predicted
3.0 Shots on Goal
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 95.4% · the book's price implies 93.5% · gap +2.0%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Shots on Goal | 95.4% | — | 93.5% | 1.05 | +2.0% |
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Matthew Tkachuk (Florida Panthers) Over 0.5 Shots On Goal (-1429)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Placeholder API response for model: gpt-4
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Recent game log
Matthew Tkachuk has 4 goals and 7 assists (11 points) across his last 10 NHL games.
| Date | Opp | G | A | P | SOG | Hits | TOI |
|---|
| 15 Apr 26 | vs DET | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:19 |
| 5 Apr 26 | @ PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21:09 |
| 4 Apr 26 | @ PIT | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:41 |
| 2 Apr 26 | vs BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18:17 |
| 31 Mar 26 | vs OTT | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 17:13 |
| 29 Mar 26 | @ NYR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 19:03 |
| 28 Mar 26 | @ NYI | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 23:43 |
| 26 Mar 26 | vs MIN | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 18:19 |
| 24 Mar 26 | vs SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19:59 |
| 20 Mar 26 | @ CGY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15:40 |
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Matthew Tkachuk (Florida Panthers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matthew Tkachuk is Over 0.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Florida Panthers vs Carolina Hurricanes on Wednesday 21 May at Lenovo Center, Carolina. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.
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