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NHL

Justin Sourdif

Washington Capitals

Value call

Justin Sourdif (Washington Capitals) has one live pick today: Shots on Goal Over 1.5 that pays $230 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
46 in 100
Predicted
1.2 Shots on Goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 45.7% · the book's price implies 43.5% · gap +2.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Washington Capitals
Capital One Arena, Washington, FUT · Indoor
Wed 7 Oct, 11:30PM
Justin Sourdif
over 1.5 shots on goal
Shots on Goal Over 1.5 +130 (2.30) · $100→$230
Value call
LEANWins about 46 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$23.00 Odds+130
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Justin Sourdif is Over 1.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 46 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 46%, the price says 43%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 8, 5:35AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal45.7%—43.5%2.19+2.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Washington Capitals vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Justin Sourdif Over 1.5 Shots on Goal (+130)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Capitals have been on a nice roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They've got some strong shooters, which makes it tough for any goalie to keep up. Justin Sourdif is part of this mix and has a good chance to fire off at least two shots on goal against the Penguins, who are struggling a bit with only 4 wins in their last 10 games. The bet on Sourdif to get over 1.5 shots makes sense here. The odds are decent, but there is a risk since both teams are pretty close in skill. Still, with the Capitals' recent form and Sourdif's opportunity to shoot, this seems like a solid pick for today's game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Justin Sourdif has 1 goals and 3 assists (4 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
3 Oct 26@ TBL1011012:24
2 Oct 26@ CAR0000013:00
14 Apr 26@ CBJ0000016:05
12 Apr 26vs PIT0001013:06
11 Apr 26@ PIT0110217:54
8 Apr 26@ TOR0111012:54
5 Apr 26@ NYR0002315:29
4 Apr 26vs BUF0110015:25
2 Apr 26@ NJD0000015:22
31 Mar 26vs PHI0001219:16
Quick answers:How many shots on goal does Justin Sourdif average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Justin Sourdif (Washington Capitals) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Justin Sourdif is Over 1.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.2% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Penguins vs Washington Capitals on Wednesday 7 October at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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