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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jeremy Swayman is Under 28.5 on Saves.
On the Saves market the model assigns a model win probability of 61%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +7.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:49PM UTC
NHL

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins

+7.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Saves Under 28.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
+7.3% Edge
Boston Bruins @ Carolina Hurricanes
Lenovo Center, Carolina, FUT · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
60.8%
Implied Probability
53.5%
Model Edge
+7.3%
Predicted Value
25.9 Saves

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves60.8%53.5%1.64+7.3%

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AI Analysis

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Jeremy Swayman (Boston Bruins) Under 28.5 Saves (-115)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Let's talk about Boston Bruins' goalie, Jeremy Swayman. Now, nobody's questioning Swayman’s ability to keep a cool head on the ice. I mean, the guy's been averaging 26.8 saves per game in his last five away games. That's nothing to sneeze at. But here's the thing - Carolina Hurricanes' offense isn't exactly notorious for their onslaught of shots. In fact, Swayman's been facing an average of 29.2 shots in those away games. Crunch those numbers and you'll see why we're leaning towards 'Under 28.5' on the 'Player Total Saves' market. Swayman's recent performance, combined with the Hurricanes' less aggressive offense, suggests that he won't be diving across the crease as much as the line suggests. Worth noting, Swayman's under streak has been going strong for the past three games. So, why buck the trend now?

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
25.9projected saves (model)
Line28.5Model proj25.9Last oppCARListed2

Jeremy Swayman (Boston Bruins) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 25.9 saves against a market line of 28.5 vs CAR. 2 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jeremy Swayman (Boston Bruins) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jeremy Swayman is Under 28.5 on Saves. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.3% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Bruins vs Carolina Hurricanes on Tuesday 7 April at Lenovo Center, Carolina. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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