Jeremy Swayman (Boston Bruins) Over 22.5 Saves (-128)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The model's prediction of 24.88 saves for Jeremy Swayman is well above the line of 22.5, indicating that he is likely to exceed the bet's requirement. Swayman's average saves at home in the last 5 games is 20.6, but his overall average in the last 5 games is significantly higher at 25.6 saves, which suggests that he can indeed surpass the 22.5 saves threshold. Furthermore, Swayman's hit rate in the last 10 home games is 70%, and in the last 20 overall games, it's 70%, both of which suggest a high probability of hitting the over. The average shots against in the last 5 home games is 23.6, providing enough opportunities for Swayman to make the required number of saves. Thus, considering Swayman's performance data and the model's prediction, betting on over 22.5 saves seems reasonable.