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NHL

Pavel Zacha

Boston Bruins

Value call

Pavel Zacha (Boston Bruins) has one live pick today: under 2.5 shots on goal that pays $153 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
64 in 100
Predicted
1.9 shots on goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 63.8% · before adjusting for past results 72.3% · the book's price implies 65.4% · gap -1.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
San Jose Sharks @ Boston Bruins
TD Garden, Boston, FUT · Indoor
Sat 24 Oct, 7:00 PM ET
Pavel Zacha
under 2.5 shots on goal
Shots on Goal Under 2.5 -189 (1.53) · $100→$153
Value call
HIGHWins about 64 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.30 Odds-189
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Pavel Zacha is Under 2.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 64 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 64%, the price says 65%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Nov 8, 4:01PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nhl points overs: 32 of 59 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal72.3%63.8%65.4%1.57+6.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Boston Bruins vs San Jose Sharks: Pavel Zacha Under 2.5 Shots on Goal (-189)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Boston Bruins are playing well at home, winning 7 of their last 10 games. Pavel Zacha has been a key player, but he might not be taking many shots in this matchup. The Bruins are strong defensively, blocking more shots than average and being tough to play against. They also land a lot of hits, which can disrupt the flow of the game. On the other side, the San Jose Sharks have won 5 of their last 10, but they are facing a solid Bruins team that knows how to limit scoring chances. There's a good chance Zacha stays under 2.5 shots on goal because of the Bruins' strong defense. The main risk is how close these teams have been playing lately, but the Bruins' home advantage and solid stats support this pick.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Pavel Zacha has 4 goals and 6 assists (10 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
5 Nov 26@ PIT2022118:37
2 Nov 26vs VGK0111121:43
31 Oct 26vs CHI0113222:12
29 Oct 26@ STL0001121:00
27 Oct 26@ CAR1012020:53
24 Oct 26vs SJS0001019:46
22 Oct 26vs NSH0221116:11
20 Oct 26@ DAL0004021:22
16 Oct 26@ ANA0221017:04
13 Oct 26@ SJS1011117:32
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Oct 26 San Jose Sharks @ Boston Bruins Shots on Goal 2.5 Under -189 ✓ HIT
16 Oct 26 Boston Bruins @ Anaheim Ducks Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Pavel Zacha (Boston Bruins) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Pavel Zacha is Under 2.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.9% on this pick. Their next game is San Jose Sharks vs Boston Bruins on Saturday 24 October at TD Garden, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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