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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake Allen is Over 23.5 on Saves.
On the Saves market the model assigns a model win probability of 62%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +8.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:25PM UTC
NHL

Jake Allen

New Jersey Devils

+8.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Saves Over 23.5 -114 (1.88)
+8.7% Edge
New Jersey Devils @ Winnipeg Jets
Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, FUT · Indoor
Sun 11 Jan, 7:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
61.9%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+8.7%
Predicted Value
26.3 Saves

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves61.9%53.2%1.62+8.7%

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AI Analysis

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Jake Allen (New Jersey Devils) Over 23.5 Saves (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Jake Allen has demonstrated consistent performance in his last five away games, averaging 30.8 saves per game, which is well above the line of 23.5. This suggests a high probability of him exceeding the set line. Even considering his overall L5 average of 27.2 saves, he still outperforms the proposed line. His current hit streak in away games stands at 3, and he has hit over the line in all of his last 3 away games, indicating a consistent performance. Additionally, Allen's L5 away games shots against average of 32.8, which is well above the line, provides him with ample opportunities to make saves. With a model prediction of 26.32, significantly higher than the line, the statistical data suggests that betting over on Jake Allen in the 'Player Total Saves' market is a strong choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
26.3projected saves (model)
Line23.5Model proj26.3Last oppWPGListed2

Jake Allen (New Jersey Devils) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 26.3 saves against a market line of 23.5 vs WPG. 2 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jake Allen (New Jersey Devils) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Allen is Over 23.5 on Saves. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.7% on this pick. Their next game is New Jersey Devils vs Winnipeg Jets on Sunday 11 January at Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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