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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake Allen is Over 27.5 on Saves.
On Saves, our numbers say this bet wins about 38 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 38%, the price says 22%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 1, 10:02PM UTC
NHL

Jake Allen

New Jersey Devils

Value call

Jake Allen (New Jersey Devils) has one live pick today: Saves Over 27.5 that pays $450 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Saves Over 27.5 +350 (4.50) · $100→$450
Value call
Philadelphia Flyers @ New Jersey Devils
Prudential Center, New Jersey, FUT · Indoor
Thu 1 Oct, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
38 in 100
Predicted
25.2 Saves
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 38.3% · the book's price implies 22.2% · gap +16.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves38.3%—22.2%2.61+16.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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New Jersey Devils vs Philadelphia Flyers: Jake Allen Over 27.5 Saves (+350)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Betting on Jake Allen to make over 27.5 saves at odds of +350 looks promising. The New Jersey Devils score about 2.76 goals a game, which means they're not lighting up the scoreboard, but they still take nearly 30 shots each game. That's a lot of rubber for Allen to handle against the Devils, especially at home where they tend to shoot more. The risk is that both teams have had similar struggles this season, with the Flyers scoring just a bit more at 2.93 goals a game. If the Flyers find their scoring touch, Allen might not see as many shots as we hope. Still, with the Devils pushing for more offense, there's a solid chance he'll face enough shots to go over that number.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jake Allen's lines for Thu 1 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Saves 27.5
-110 best over price · 6 booksWent over in 9 of the last 10 games9 in a row

Jake Allen's saves line is 27.5, best over price -110 across 6 books. He has gone over it in 9 of his last 10 games.

Saves 25.5
-110 best over price · 6 booksWent over in 9 of the last 10 games9 in a row

Jake Allen's saves line is 25.5, best over price -110 across 6 books. He has gone over it in 9 of his last 10 games.

Saves 23.5
-110 best over price · 6 booksWent over in 9 of the last 10 games9 in a row

Jake Allen's saves line is 23.5, best over price -110 across 6 books. He has gone over it in 9 of his last 10 games.

Saves 22.5
-110 best over price · 6 booksWent over in 9 of the last 10 games9 in a row

Jake Allen's saves line is 22.5, best over price -110 across 6 books. He has gone over it in 9 of his last 10 games.

Betting angles

1 market live
SavesNext gameO 27.5 +350
25.2projected saves (model)
Line27.5Model proj25.2Last oppPHIListed6

Jake Allen (New Jersey Devils) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 25.2 saves against a market line of 27.5 vs PHI. 6 matchups tracked. A live line is currently posted for the upcoming game.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jake Allen (New Jersey Devils) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Allen is Over 27.5 on Saves. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.1% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils on Thursday 1 October at Prudential Center, New Jersey. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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