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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Filip Gustavsson is Over 22.5 on Saves.
On the Saves market the model assigns a model win probability of 56%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +2.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
NHL

Filip Gustavsson

Minnesota Wild

+2.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Saves Over 22.5 -115 (1.87)
+2.5% Edge
Minnesota Wild @ Dallas Stars
American Airlines Center, Dallas, FUT · Indoor
Sat 18 Apr, 9:30PM
OUT
out
updated May 18, 6:29PM UTC · 63d old
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Model Probability
56.0%
Implied Probability
53.5%
Model Edge
+2.5%
Predicted Value
24.2 Saves

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves56.0%53.5%1.79+2.5%

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AI Analysis

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Filip Gustavsson (Minnesota Wild) Over 22.5 Saves (-115)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Picture this: It's Saturday night, April 18, 2026, and there's a thrilling NHL face-off on the horizon between the Dallas Stars and the Minnesota Wild. The buzz is all about Filip Gustavsson, the Wild's goalie, and his performance on the road. Now, Gustavsson may have seen an average of 23.8 shots against him in his last five away games, but the guy's got resilience. He's made an average of 19.2 saves in these games. Dig a little deeper and you'll find that, overall, he's upped his saves to an average of 21.4 in his last five fixtures. Given the Stars' aggressive offense, Gustavsson is expected to take a few hits tonight. Here's the deal—Gustavsson is a fighter, and he's likely to make over 22.5 saves this game. It's a prop bet with promise, so why not give it a shot?

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
24.2projected saves (model)
Line22.5Model proj24.2Last oppDALListed12

Filip Gustavsson (Minnesota Wild) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 24.2 saves against a market line of 22.5 vs DAL. 12 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Filip Gustavsson (Minnesota Wild) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Filip Gustavsson is Over 22.5 on Saves. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.5% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars on Saturday 18 April at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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