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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kirill Kaprizov is Over 2.5 on Shots on Goal.
On the Shots on Goal market the model assigns a model win probability of 69%, versus the book's implied 65%, for a model edge of +4.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 7:33PM UTC
NHL

Kirill Kaprizov

Minnesota Wild

+4.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots on Goal Over 2.5 -182 (1.55) · $100→$155
+4.4% Edge
Minnesota Wild @ Los Angeles Kings
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, FUT · Indoor
Tue 6 Jan, 3:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
68.9%
Implied Probability
64.5%
Model Edge
+4.4%
Predicted Value
3.7 Shots on Goal

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal68.9%64.5%1.45+4.4%

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AI Analysis

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Kirill Kaprizov (Minnesota Wild) Over 2.5 Shots On Goal (-182)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Kirill Kaprizov to achieve over 2.5 shots on goal in the upcoming game is supported by his consistent performance data. His average number of shots in his last 5 away games is 3.6, surpassing the line set at 2.5. This is further reinforced when looking at his overall average of 3 shots per game. Kaprizov's recent trend data also supports this outcome, with a hit rate of 4/6 in his last 6 away games and 11/14 in his last 14 games overall. These stats indicate a solid track record of exceeding 2.5 shots on goal. Additionally, the model's prediction of 3.69 shots, with a standard deviation of 1.39, further suggests that Kaprizov is likely to meet or exceed the bet's requirement. Hence, the statistical evidence points towards a strong likelihood of this bet being successful.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Kirill Kaprizov has 7 goals and 3 assists (10 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
11 Apr 26@ NSH0000020:41
9 Apr 26@ DAL2024323:00
7 Apr 26vs SEA0005020:58
5 Apr 26@ DET3035019:53
4 Apr 26@ OTT0112117:56
2 Apr 26vs VAN1125119:45
28 Mar 26@ BOS1013019:58
26 Mar 26@ FLA0001018:16
24 Mar 26@ TBL0002021:31
17 Mar 26@ CHI0116121:54
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kirill Kaprizov (Minnesota Wild) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kirill Kaprizov is Over 2.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.4% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Wild vs Los Angeles Kings on Tuesday 6 January at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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