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NHL

Mikael Backlund

Calgary Flames

Value call

Mikael Backlund (Calgary Flames) has one live pick today: over 0.5 points that pays $255 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
57 in 100
Predicted
0.7 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 56.9% · the book's price implies 39.2% · gap +17.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Carolina Hurricanes @ Calgary Flames
Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, FUT · Indoor
Sun 18 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Mikael Backlund
over 0.5 points
Points Over 0.5 +155 (2.55) · $100→$255
Value call
LEANWins about 57 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$25.50 Odds+155
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mikael Backlund is Over 0.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 57 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 57%, the price says 39%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 19, 1:16AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points56.9%—39.2%1.76+17.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Calgary Flames vs Carolina Hurricanes: Mikael Backlund Over 0.5 Points (+155)

Odds correct at time of publishing

You can get really good odds on Mikael Backlund getting over half a point at +155. The Flames have struggled lately, winning only 3 out of their last 10 games, but Backlund is still a key player who can make a difference. With the Hurricanes coming off a strong streak, winning 8 of their last 10, there's a chance they might focus more on offense, which could open up opportunities for Backlund. The matchup looks pretty even based on our numbers, so it could go either way. The main risk here is that both teams are closely matched, and the Flames need to step up their game. Still, if Backlund can find a way to contribute, this bet could pay off nicely.

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Pick History & Track Record

Mikael Backlund's lines for Mon 19 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Points 0.5

Mikael Backlund's points line is 0.5.

Recent game log

Mikael Backlund has 2 goals and 2 assists (4 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
15 Oct 26@ VGK0001218:41
13 Oct 26@ ANA0113121:10
10 Oct 26vs ANA0001019:24
8 Oct 26vs COL1018017:41
4 Oct 26@ SEA0005215:16
3 Oct 26@ VAN0003118:57
1 Oct 26vs SEA0001117:07
16 Apr 26vs LAK0000016:22
14 Apr 26vs COL0112016:36
12 Apr 26vs UTA1012017:42
Quick answers:How many points does Mikael Backlund average?How many shots on goal does Mikael Backlund average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Mikael Backlund (Calgary Flames) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mikael Backlund is Over 0.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.7% on this pick. Their next game is Carolina Hurricanes vs Calgary Flames on Sunday 18 October at Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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