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NHL

Dawson Mercer

New Jersey Devils

Value call

Dawson Mercer (New Jersey Devils) has one live pick today: over 1.5 goals that pays $8,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
2 in 100
Predicted
0.3 goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 2.1% · before adjusting for past results 3.0% · the book's price implies 1.2% · gap +0.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
New Jersey Devils @ New York Islanders
UBS Arena, New York, FUT · Indoor
Sat 3 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Dawson Mercer
over 1.5 goals
Goals Over 1.5 +8000 (81.00) · $100→$8,100
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 2 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$810.00 Odds+8000
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Dawson Mercer is Over 1.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 2 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 2%, the price says 1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:29PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals3.0%2.1%1.2%48.30+1.7%

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AI Analysis

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New York Islanders vs New Jersey Devils: Dawson Mercer Over 1.5 Goals (+8000)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The New York Islanders are struggling, having only won 2 of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the New Jersey Devils have been more consistent, scoring nearly 3 goals a game last season. They also take a good number of shots, which means they often create chances to score. With the way both teams are playing, this game could see some goals, especially from Dawson Mercer, who has the potential to find the net. The biggest risk here is that the Islanders need to improve their game for this matchup to be high-scoring. Still, with the Devils' offensive ability and Mercer's scoring talent, taking a chance on over 1.5 goals feels worth it. Remember, though, this is a long shot, so it's not a sure thing.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Dawson Mercer has 0 goals and 4 assists (4 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
22 Oct 26vs ANA0001013:55
20 Oct 26vs COL0002316:38
17 Oct 26@ WSH0111517:08
15 Oct 26vs NYR0223015:52
13 Oct 26@ DET0113017:17
12 Oct 26vs OTT0001013:45
10 Oct 26vs VAN0003014:11
6 Oct 26vs UTA0002011:04
3 Oct 26@ NYI0003015:02
1 Oct 26vs PHI0003116:08
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Dawson Mercer (New Jersey Devils) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dawson Mercer is Over 1.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.7% on this pick. Their next game is New Jersey Devils vs New York Islanders on Saturday 3 October at UBS Arena, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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