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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Arseny Gritsyuk is Over 4.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 9 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 9%, the price says 6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 1, 10:07PM UTC
NHL

Arseny Gritsyuk

New Jersey Devils

Value call

Arseny Gritsyuk (New Jersey Devils) has one live pick today: Shots on Goal Over 4.5 that pays $1,800 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Shots on Goal Over 4.5 +1700 (18.00) · $100→$1,800
Value call
Philadelphia Flyers @ New Jersey Devils
Prudential Center, New Jersey, FUT · Indoor
Thu 1 Oct, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
9 in 100
Predicted
2.3 Shots on Goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 9.1% · the book's price implies 5.6% · gap +3.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal9.1%—5.6%10.99+3.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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New Jersey Devils vs Philadelphia Flyers: Arseny Gritsyuk Over 4.5 Shots on Goal (+1700)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Arseny Gritsyuk has been getting plenty of chances lately, and that's why I'm picking him to have over 4.5 shots on goal. The New Jersey Devils have been taking nearly 30 shots a game, which shows they like to keep the pressure on. Plus, Gritsyuk's been in the mix offensively, so he has a real shot to hit that number against a Philadelphia Flyers team that allows about the same number of shots as they take. However, this is a long shot since Gritsyuk doesn't always get a ton of ice time. The Flyers have also been pretty solid at limiting shots, so that's something to watch for. Still, the potential is there for Gritsyuk to find his groove and take his chances.

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Pick History & Track Record

Arseny Gritsyuk's lines for Thu 1 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Shots on Goal 4.5
+600 best over price · 1 book

Arseny Gritsyuk's shots on goal line is 4.5, best over price +600 across 1 book.

Recent game log

Arseny Gritsyuk has 4 goals and 4 assists (8 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
24 Mar 26@ DAL0111116:22
20 Mar 26@ WSH0005215:09
18 Mar 26@ NYR1012117:08
16 Mar 26vs BOS0002211:17
14 Mar 26vs LAK1125115:53
12 Mar 26vs CGY0003017:10
8 Mar 26vs DET0003113:11
7 Mar 26vs NYR0111015:21
4 Mar 26vs TOR1121017:04
3 Mar 26vs FLA1013016:28
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Arseny Gritsyuk (New Jersey Devils) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Arseny Gritsyuk is Over 4.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.5% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils on Thursday 1 October at Prudential Center, New Jersey. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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