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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alex Lyon is Under 27.5 on Saves.
On the Saves market the model assigns a model win probability of 57%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +4.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NHL

Alex Lyon

Buffalo Sabres

+4.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Saves Under 27.5 -115 (1.87)
+4.0% Edge
Buffalo Sabres @ Anaheim Ducks
Honda Center, Anaheim, FUT · Indoor
Mon 23 Mar, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
57.4%
Implied Probability
53.5%
Model Edge
+4.0%
Predicted Value
25.6 Saves

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves57.4%53.5%1.74+4.0%

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AI Analysis

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Alex Lyon (Buffalo Sabres) Under 27.5 Saves (-115)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Pull up a chair, folks, because we've got a fascinating look at the Buffalo Sabres' goal-tending maestro, Alex Lyon, on deck. This guy's been tighter than a clamshell in his recent away games, letting just 1.6 goals slip past on average. He's been busy too, stopping an impressive 29.4 shots per game. Now, normally, a goalie that active might have us thinking twice about betting the under on total saves. But here's where it gets intriguing: Lyon's overall average of saves is a mere 21.2. Seems like he's been less busy when you take into account all recent games. With the Sabres facing off against the Anaheim Ducks - a team not exactly known for peppering adversaries with shots - we're feeling pretty confident Lyon won't be breaking a sweat with more than 27.5 saves. So, let's target that under and watch the drama unfold.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
25.6projected saves (model)
Line27.5Model proj25.6Last oppANAListed2

Alex Lyon (Buffalo Sabres) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 25.6 saves against a market line of 27.5 vs ANA. 2 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Alex Lyon (Buffalo Sabres) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alex Lyon is Under 27.5 on Saves. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.0% on this pick. Their next game is Buffalo Sabres vs Anaheim Ducks on Monday 23 March at Honda Center, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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