Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Xavier Legette is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer.
On Last Touchdown Scorer, our numbers say this bet wins about 23 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 23%, the price says 4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 8:02PM UTC
NFL
Xavier Legette
CAR
Xavier Legette has one live pick today: Last Touchdown Scorer Yes that pays $2,300 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Last Touchdown Scorer
Yes
+2200 (23.00) · $100→$2,300
Value call
Chicago Bears
@
Carolina Panthers
Carolina · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Legette caught two passes on four targets for 64 yards during the Panthers' 34-3 win over the Falcons on Sunday.
updated Sep 23, 2:31AM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
How often this wins
23 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Last Touchdown Scorer
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 22.5% · before adjusting for past results 22.5% · the book's price implies 4.4% · gap +18.2%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Last Touchdown Scorer | 22.5% | 22.5% | 4.4% | 23.00 | +18.2% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime
Xavier Legette (CAR) Yes Player last td (+2200)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Carolina Panthers play Chicago Bears in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Xavier Legette (CAR) Yes Player last td. It was priced at +2200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $230 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Betting angles
Markets & formReceiving Yards90 lines trackedNo line posted 18.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–79.5model over56%tips tracked90
Xavier Legette's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 90 times, typically around a 18.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD12 lines trackedNo line posted
21%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked12
Xavier Legette's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 12 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 21%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions26 lines trackedNo line posted 1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–5.5tips tracked26
Xavier Legette's NFL receptions prop has been priced 26 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 13 Sep 26 |
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers |
Receptions |
2.5 |
Under |
-167 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers |
Receptions |
1.5 |
Under |
+164 |
✓ HIT |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers |
Receiving Yards (Alt) |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers |
Receiving Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Xavier Legette (CAR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Xavier Legette is Yes on Last Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.2% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers on Sunday 13 September at Carolina. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.