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NFL

Tom Kennedy

DET

Value call

Tom Kennedy has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $2,300 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
9 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 9.1% · before adjusting for past results 13.3% · the book's price implies 4.4% · gap +4.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals
Arizona · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 4:25 PM ET
Tom Kennedy
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +2200 (23.00) · $100→$2,300
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 9 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$230.00 Odds+2200
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tom Kennedy is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 9 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 9%, the price says 4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:27PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$20,973 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
The Lions placed Kennedy (knee) on injured reserve Friday.
updated Oct 17, 1:51AM UTC · 9d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD13.3%9.1%4.4%23.00+8.9%

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AI Analysis

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Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions: Tom Kennedy Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+2000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Arizona Cardinals have struggled a bit against wide receivers, allowing more touchdowns than most teams last season. This could open the door for Tom Kennedy from the Detroit Lions to find the end zone. With the Cardinals' defense letting through 1.2 touchdowns to running backs and 1.3 to wide receivers each game, Kennedy stands a solid chance to make a splash. While betting on him to score might feel like a long shot, those odds of +2000 make it tempting. Just keep in mind that the Lions' quarterback faced extra pressure on his dropbacks, which could affect the passing game. Still, with the way the Cardinals have been giving up touchdowns, Kennedy could definitely find his moment to shine.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards18 lines trackedNo line posted
29.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–49.5model over62%tips tracked18

Tom Kennedy's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 18 times, typically around a 29.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions6 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–3.5model over56%tips tracked6

Tom Kennedy's NFL receptions prop has been priced 6 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD16 lines trackedNo line posted
16%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked16

Tom Kennedy's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 16 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 16%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 New York Jets @ Detroit Lions Total Touchdowns — — — Pending
13 Sep 26 New Orleans Saints @ Detroit Lions Total Touchdowns — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tom Kennedy (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tom Kennedy is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.9% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Lions vs Arizona Cardinals on Sunday 11 October at Arizona. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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