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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tom Kennedy is Over 27.5 on Receiving Yards.
On the Receiving Yards market the model assigns a model win probability of 70%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +17.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:04PM UTC
NFL

Tom Kennedy

DET

+17.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards Over 27.5 -114 (1.88)
+17.2% Edge
Dallas Cowboys @ Detroit Lions
Detroit · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
70.4%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+17.2%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards70.4%—53.2%1.42+17.2%

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AI Analysis

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Tom Kennedy (DET) Over 27.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Based on Tom Kennedy's recent performance and trends, betting over 27.5 on 'player_reception_yds' is not statistically favorable. Kennedy's overall hit rate over the last 20 games is just 2/7, meaning he surpasses the 27.5 yards in less than 30% of his matches. This trend holds at home games too, with a hit rate of 1/4. Against the Dallas Cowboys specifically, he has never hit over the stated line, with a hit rate of 0/1. Additionally, his current hit streak is zero overall, at home, and against Dallas, showing a lack of recent success in achieving over 27.5 yards. Thus, Kennedy's historical performance does not suggest a high likelihood of him breaking the 27.5 yards threshold in the upcoming game against the Cowboys.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards18 lines trackedNo line posted
29.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–49.5model over62%tips tracked18

Tom Kennedy's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 18 times, typically around a 29.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions6 lines trackedNo line posted
3.5typical line · receptions
line range1.5–3.5model over56%tips tracked6

Tom Kennedy's NFL receptions prop has been priced 6 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
34%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2

Tom Kennedy's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 34%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tom Kennedy (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tom Kennedy is Over 27.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.2% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions at Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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