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NFL

Najee Harris

NYG

Value call

Najee Harris has one live pick today: over 24.5 rushing yards that pays $216 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
56 in 100
Predicted
33.4 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 56.2% · before adjusting for past results 66.1% · the book's price implies 46.3% · gap +9.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants
New York · Indoor
Sun 18 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Najee Harris
over 24.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards (Alt) Over 24.5 +116 (2.16) · $100→$216
Value call
LEANWins about 56 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$21.60 Odds+116
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Najee Harris is Over 24.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 56 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 56%, the price says 46%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 8, 11:10AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards (Alt)66.1%56.2%46.3%2.16+19.8%

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AI Analysis

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Najee Harris (NYG) Over 24.5 Player rush yds alternate (+116)

Odds correct at time of publishing

New York Giants play New Orleans Saints in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Najee Harris (NYG) Over 24.5 Player rush yds alternate. It was priced at +116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards65 lines trackedNo line posted
24.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–39.5model over60%tips tracked65

Najee Harris's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 65 times, typically around a 24.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Oct 26 New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants Rushing Yards 35.5 Under -109 ✓ HIT
18 Oct 26 New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants Rushing Yards 34.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Washington Commanders Rushing Yards 29.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
18 Oct 26 New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
18 Oct 26 New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants Rushing Yards — — — Pending
18 Oct 26 New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Najee Harris (NYG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Najee Harris is Over 24.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.8% on this pick. Their next game is New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants on Sunday 18 October at New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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