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NFL

Najee Harris

NYG

Value call

Najee Harris has one live pick today: under 29.5 rushing yards that pays $189 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
28.0 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.4% · before adjusting for past results 60.9% · the book's price implies 52.9% · gap -3.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
New York Giants @ Washington Commanders
Washington · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Najee Harris
under 29.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Under 29.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.90 Odds-112
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Najee Harris is Under 29.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:44AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards60.9%49.4%52.9%2.00+8.0%

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AI Analysis

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Najee Harris (NYG) Under 29.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Washington Commanders play New York Giants in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Najee Harris (NYG) Under 29.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards36 lines trackedNo line posted
24.5typical line · rushing yds
line range4.5–29.5model over57%tips tracked36

Najee Harris's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 36 times, typically around a 24.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does Najee Harris average?How many receiving yards does Najee Harris average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Washington Commanders Rushing Yards 29.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Washington Commanders Rushing Yards 28.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Washington Commanders Rushing Yards 27.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 New York Giants @ Washington Commanders Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Najee Harris (NYG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Najee Harris is Under 29.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.0% on this pick. Their next game is New York Giants vs Washington Commanders on Sunday 11 October at Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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