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NFL

David Montgomery

HOU

Value call

David Montgomery has one live pick today: under 14.5 rushing attempts that pays $186 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
12.6 rushing attempts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.0% · before adjusting for past results 71.5% · the book's price implies 53.8% · gap +7.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans
Tennessee · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
David Montgomery
under 14.5 rushing attempts
Rushing Attempts Under 14.5 -116 (1.86) · $100→$186
Value call
HIGHWins about 61 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.60 Odds-116
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for David Montgomery is Under 14.5 on Rushing Attempts.
On Rushing Attempts, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 23, 7:15PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
DOUBTFUL
Montgomery (groin) will not play Sunday against the Giants, Aaron Wilson of KPRC 2 Houston reports.
updated Oct 23, 3:51PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Attempts71.5%61.0%53.8%1.97+17.7%

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AI Analysis

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Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans: David Montgomery Under 14.5 Rushing Attempts (-116)

Odds correct at time of publishing

David Montgomery has been a solid player for the Tennessee Titans, but this matchup against the Houston Texans could limit his carries. The Texans have shown they can be tough against the run, especially with their strong defensive line. This might keep Montgomery's rushing attempts lower than usual. With the way both teams have been playing, we think there's a good chance he won't reach 15 rushing attempts. The biggest risk here is that the game could be close, leading to more running plays for both teams. Still, we're confident in this pick for under 14.5 rushing attempts.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards59 lines trackedNo line posted
49.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over10%tips tracked59

David Montgomery's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 59 times, typically around a 49.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5

David Montgomery's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions65 lines trackedNo line posted
1.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–5.5model over63%tips tracked65

David Montgomery's NFL receptions prop has been priced 65 times, typically around a 1.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards39 lines trackedNo line posted
19.5typical line · rushing yds
line range14.5–49.5model over96%tips tracked39

David Montgomery's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 39 times, typically around a 19.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many rushing yards does David Montgomery average?How many receiving yards does David Montgomery average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans Rushing Attempts 14.5 Under -116 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans Receiving Yards 7.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans Rushing Attempts 13.5 Under +101 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans Rush + Rec Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans Rush + Rec Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

David Montgomery (HOU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for David Montgomery is Under 14.5 on Rushing Attempts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.7% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans on Sunday 11 October at Tennessee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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