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NFL

David Montgomery

DET

+1.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Receiving Yards Under 12.5 -112 (1.89)
+1.6% Edge
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions
Detroit
Model Probability
54.5%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+1.6%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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David Montgomery (DET) Under 12.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting under 12.5 on David Montgomery's reception yards is statistically backed by his recent performance and trends. Montgomery has consistently failed to hit this mark in his recent games. Over his last 5 games, he hasn't outperformed this market even once, showing a 0/5 overall hit rate. His record against the Chicago Bears, both at home and away, is equally unpromising with a 0/3 hit rate. Even when expanding the scope to his last 20 games, his success rate is low, with only 4 hits. His lack of success in this specific market is emphasized by his current hit streak of 0. Considering these numbers, it seems statistically unlikely that Montgomery will exceed 12.5 reception yards in the upcoming game against the Detroit Lions. Betting under 12.5 is therefore a data-driven decision.

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Pick History & Track Record

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