Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jameis Winston is Over 149.5 on Passing Yards (Alt).
On Passing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 76%, the price says 83%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 27, 11:07AM UTC
NFL
Jameis Winston
NYG
Jameis Winston has one live pick today: Passing Yards (Alt) Over 149.5 that pays $121 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Passing Yards (Alt)
Over 149.5
-476 (1.21) · $100→$121
Value call
Tennessee Titans
@
New York Giants
New York · Indoor
Sun 27 Sep, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: 177 of 334 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Winston could be in line for an extended run as the Giants' starting quarterback after Jaxson Dart sustained a more serious knee injury than anticipated in Monday's 28-6 loss to the Rams, Ian Rapoport and Mike Garafolo of NFL Network report.
updated Sep 22, 7:08PM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
179.4 Passing Yards (Alt)
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 76.4% · before adjusting for past results 84.0% · the book's price implies 82.6% · gap -6.3%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Passing Yards (Alt) | 84.0% | 76.4% | 82.6% | 1.21 | +1.3% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
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Jameis Winston (NYG) Over 149.5 Player pass yds alternate (-476)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
New York Giants play Tennessee Titans in the NFL on Sunday 27 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jameis Winston (NYG) Over 149.5 Player pass yds alternate. It was priced at -476 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Jameis Winston's lines for Sun 27 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Passing Yards (Alt) 149.5
Jameis Winston's passing yards (alt) line is 149.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 124.5
Jameis Winston's passing yards (alt) line is 124.5.
Passing Touchdowns (Alt) 2.5
Jameis Winston's passing touchdowns (alt) line is 2.5.
Passing Touchdowns (Alt) 1.5
Jameis Winston's passing touchdowns (alt) line is 1.5.
Pass Completions 17.5
Jameis Winston's pass completions line is 17.5.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Jameis Winston's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Interceptions Thrown 0.5
Jameis Winston's interceptions thrown line is 0.5.
Pass Completions 18.5
Jameis Winston's pass completions line is 18.5.
Betting angles
1 market livePassing YardsNext game · Tennessee Titans @ New York GiantsO 124.5 -909
124.5posted line · passing yds
Jameis Winston has a live NFL passing yards market for Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants: over 124.5 passing yds priced at -909.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Jameis Winston (NYG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jameis Winston is Over 149.5 on Passing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Tennessee Titans vs New York Giants on Sunday 27 September at New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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