Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Davante Adams is Under 5.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 72%, the price says 60%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 30, 8:36PM UTC
NFL
Davante Adams
LA
Davante Adams has one live pick today: Receptions Under 5.5 that pays $168 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Receptions
Under 5.5
-147 (1.68) · $100→$168
Value call
Los Angeles Rams
@
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 5:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 491 of 840 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Adams caught seven of 13 targets for 137 yards in Sunday's 30-26 loss to the Broncos.
updated Sep 28, 4:20AM UTC · 2d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
72 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 72.2% · the book's price implies 59.5% · gap +12.7%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receptions | 72.2% | — | 59.5% | 1.79 | +12.7% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
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Davante Adams (LA) Under 5.5 Receptions (-147)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Philadelphia Eagles play Los Angeles Rams in the NFL on Sunday 4 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Davante Adams (LA) Under 5.5 Receptions. It was priced at -147 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Davante Adams's lines for Sun 4 Oct
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receptions 5.5
+118 best over price · 9 books
Davante Adams's receptions line is 5.5, best over price +118 across 9 books.
Receptions 4.5
-156 best over price · 1 book
Davante Adams's receptions line is 4.5, best over price -156 across 1 book.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5
Davante Adams's receiving yards (alt) line is 49.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
Davante Adams's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Davante Adams's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
Davante Adams's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Receiving Yards 74.5
-112 best over price · 6 books
Davante Adams's receiving yards line is 74.5, best over price -112 across 6 books.
Receiving Yards 72.5
-114 best over price · 4 books
Davante Adams's receiving yards line is 72.5, best over price -114 across 4 books.
Betting angles
2 markets liveReceiving YardsNext game · Los Angeles RamsU 74.5 -114 74.5posted line · receiving yds
Davante Adams has a live NFL receiving yards market for Los Angeles Rams: under 74.5 receiving yds priced at -114.
ReceptionsNext game · Los Angeles RamsU 5.5 -147 5.5posted line · receptions
Davante Adams has a live NFL receptions market for Los Angeles Rams: under 5.5 receptions priced at -147.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 11 Sep 26 |
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams |
Receptions |
4.5 |
Under |
-118 |
✓ HIT |
| 22 Sep 26 |
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams |
Receptions |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 22 Sep 26 |
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams |
Receiving Yards |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Davante Adams (LA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Davante Adams is Under 5.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.7% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday 4 October at Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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