Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
NFL

D'Andre Swift

CHI

Value call

D'Andre Swift has one live pick today: under 14.5 rushing attempts that pays $205 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
55 in 100
Predicted
13.3 rushing attempts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 55.0% · before adjusting for past results 64.8% · the book's price implies 48.8% · gap +6.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears
Chicago · Indoor
Thu 22 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
D'Andre Swift
under 14.5 rushing attempts
Rushing Attempts Under 14.5 +105 (2.05) · $100→$205
Value call
LEANWins about 55 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$20.50 Odds+105
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for D'Andre Swift is Under 14.5 on Rushing Attempts.
On Rushing Attempts, our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 55%, the price says 49%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 24, 8:06PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Swift rushed 22 times for 78 yards and a touchdown and brought in all four targets for 12 yards in the Bears' 30-24 win over the Patriots on Thursday.
updated Oct 23, 4:11AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Attempts64.8%55.0%48.8%2.17+16.0%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots: D'Andre Swift Under 14.5 Rushing Attempts (+105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Bears' defense has been pretty tough against the run lately, which could make it hard for D'Andre Swift to rack up rushing attempts. Chicago has been relying more on passing plays, and their quarterback has faced extra rushers a lot this season, suggesting they might not stick to running the ball as much. Meanwhile, the Patriots have also leaned on passing, and their quarterback has seen fewer extra rushers compared to Swift's situation. With both teams focusing on the air game, betting on Swift to have fewer than 14.5 rushing attempts seems like a solid choice. The biggest risk here is that both teams are close in how they play, so anything could happen.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)
Overall Hit Rate (25 picks) 72.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards59 lines trackedNo line posted
13.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over69%tips tracked59

D'Andre Swift's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 59 times, typically around a 13.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD20 lines trackedNo line posted
51%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked20

D'Andre Swift's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 20 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 51%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions33 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over48%tips tracked33

D'Andre Swift's NFL receptions prop has been priced 33 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards91 lines trackedNo line posted
39.5typical line · rushing yds
line range19.5–69.5model over94%tips tracked91

D'Andre Swift's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 91 times, typically around a 39.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Rushing Attempts 14.5 Under +105 ✗ MISS
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Receiving Yards 20.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Receiving Yards — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

D'Andre Swift (CHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 72.0% on tracked D'Andre Swift picks. The latest model pick for D'Andre Swift is Under 14.5 on Rushing Attempts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.0% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears on Thursday 22 October at Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.