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NFL

D'Andre Swift

CHI

Value call

D'Andre Swift has one live pick today: under 21.5 receiving yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
19.8 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.8% · before adjusting for past results 67.9% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -3.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears
Chicago · Indoor
Sun 8 Nov, 8:20 PM ET
D'Andre Swift
under 21.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Under 21.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for D'Andre Swift is Under 21.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 14, 5:02AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Swift rushed 12 times for 31 yards and didn't catch his lone target in Sunday's 27-24 win over the Buccaneers.
updated Nov 9, 5:17AM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards67.9%49.8%53.2%1.99+14.7%

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AI Analysis

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Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers: D'Andre Swift Under 21.5 Receiving Yards (-116)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Chicago Bears' defense has been tough this season, especially their pass rush. They've managed to sack the quarterback quite a bit, which puts pressure on the opposing offense. D'Andre Swift might struggle to get open against a Bears defense that sees extra rushers often. With the way they've been coming after quarterbacks, it could be a tough day for him. On the other side, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers haven't been great on grass lately, and Swift's chances of hitting over 21.5 receiving yards might not be high. Plus, against a tough Bears pass rush, Swift could find it hard to break free. That makes the under a solid pick for this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)
Overall Hit Rate (29 picks) 72.4% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards67 lines trackedNo line posted
13.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–69.5model over69%tips tracked67

D'Andre Swift's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 67 times, typically around a 13.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD20 lines trackedNo line posted
51%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked20

D'Andre Swift's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 20 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 51%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions35 lines trackedNo line posted
2.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–4.5model over48%tips tracked35

D'Andre Swift's NFL receptions prop has been priced 35 times, typically around a 2.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards112 lines trackedNo line posted
39.5typical line · rushing yds
line range19.5–69.5model over94%tips tracked112

D'Andre Swift's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 112 times, typically around a 39.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Nov 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears Receiving Yards 21.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5 Over -417 ✗ MISS
08 Nov 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears Receiving Yards 20.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
08 Nov 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears Rush + Rec Yards — — — Pending
08 Nov 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears Rush + Rec Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

D'Andre Swift (CHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 72.4% on tracked D'Andre Swift picks. The latest model pick for D'Andre Swift is Under 21.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.7% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears on Sunday 8 November at Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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