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The latest Bet Better model pick for D'Andre Swift is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 50%, implied 47%, edge +3.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 1:19PM UTC
NFL

D'Andre Swift

CHI

+3.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD Yes +115 (2.15) · $100→$215
+3.7% Edge
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Chicago Bears
Chicago · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Swift (abdomen) is not listed on the Bears' Week 1 injury report Wednesday.
updated Sep 9, 8:26PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
50 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 50.2% · the book's price implies 46.5% · gap +3.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD50.2%46.5%1.99+3.7%

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AI Analysis

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D'Andre Swift (CHI) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+115)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Based on the data provided, betting on D'Andre Swift to score a touchdown anytime during the Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers game appears to be a risky proposition. Swift's recent performance data shows a lack of touchdown scoring, with no touchdowns in his last five games overall or at home. His hit rate over his last 10 games overall (10%) and at home (20%) are also not impressive. His longer-term hit rate, either overall (33%) or at home (41%), is slightly better but still relatively low. Moreover, Swift is currently on a zero-hit streak both overall and at home. Although the model suggests a slight edge of 0.037, his recent performance doesn't instill a lot of confidence for this bet, and it might be wise to consider other options for the 'player_anytime_td' market.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards20 lines trackedNo line posted
13.5typical line · receiving yds
line range4.5–49.5model over69%tips tracked20

D'Andre Swift's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 20 times, typically around a 13.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD17 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked17

D'Andre Swift's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 17 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions2 lines trackedNo line posted
0.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–3.5model over99%tips tracked2

D'Andre Swift's NFL receptions prop has been priced 2 times, typically around a 0.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards1 line trackedNo line posted
54.5typical line · rushing yds
tips tracked1

D'Andre Swift's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 1 time, typically around a 54.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

D'Andre Swift (CHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for D'Andre Swift is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.7% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Steelers vs Chicago Bears at Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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