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NFL

Carson Steele

PHI

Value call

Carson Steele has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $1,700 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
8 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 8.0% · before adjusting for past results 11.7% · the book's price implies 5.9% · gap +2.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 9:30 AM ET
Carson Steele
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +1600 (17.00) · $100→$1,700
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 8 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$170.00 Odds+1600
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Carson Steele is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 8 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 8%, the price says 6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 1:38AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD11.7%8.0%5.9%17.00+5.9%

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AI Analysis

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Carson Steele (PHI) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1600)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Jacksonville Jaguars play Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Carson Steele (PHI) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer. It was priced at +1600 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $170 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
12%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1

Carson Steele's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 12%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Carson Steele (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Carson Steele is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.9% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday 11 October at Jacksonville. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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