Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
NFL

Brenen Thompson

LAC

Value call

Brenen Thompson has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $1,300 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
7 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 7.0% · before adjusting for past results 10.3% · the book's price implies 7.7% · gap -0.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 4:05 PM ET
Brenen Thompson
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +1200 (13.00) · $100→$1,300
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 7 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$130.00 Odds+1200
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brenen Thompson is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 7 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 7%, the price says 8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 1:47AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
QUESTIONABLE
questionable
updated Oct 13, 5:10PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD10.3%7.0%7.7%13.00+2.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Brenen Thompson (LAC) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+1200)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Los Angeles Chargers play Denver Broncos in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Brenen Thompson (LAC) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer. It was priced at +1200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $130 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD8 lines trackedNo line posted
14%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked8

Brenen Thompson's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 8 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 14%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 26 Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers Total Touchdowns — — — Pending
13 Sep 26 Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers Total Touchdowns — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Brenen Thompson (LAC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brenen Thompson is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday 11 October at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.