Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alec Ingold is Over 1.5 on Total Touchdowns.
On Total Touchdowns, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 1%, the price says 1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 23, 7:55PM UTC
NFL
Alec Ingold
LAC
Alec Ingold has one live pick today: Total Touchdowns Over 1.5 that pays $20,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Total Touchdowns
Over 1.5
+20000 (201.00) · $100→$20,100
Value call
Las Vegas Raiders
@
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 8:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 365 of 558 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Total Touchdowns
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 1.0% · before adjusting for past results 1.6% · the book's price implies 0.5% · gap +0.5%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Total Touchdowns | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 201.00 | +1.1% |
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Alec Ingold (LAC) Over 1.5 Player tds over (+20000)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Los Angeles Chargers play Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Alec Ingold (LAC) Over 1.5 Player tds over. It was priced at +20000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $2010 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formAnytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
11%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5
Alec Ingold's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 11%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 20 Sep 26 |
Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers |
Total Touchdowns |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
| 13 Sep 26 |
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers |
Total Touchdowns |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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Alec Ingold (LAC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alec Ingold is Over 1.5 on Total Touchdowns. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday 20 September at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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