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Model picks & player props
MLB
Citi Field, Queens (NYC)
Outdoor
Fri 15 Aug 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Seattle Mariners
VS
New York Mets

Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets Prediction & Picks

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

0
Game markets graded
5
Props graded
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Seattle Mariners

  • Josh Naylor 1BOut
  • Cal Raleigh COut
  • Michael Toglia 1BOut
  • Kade Anderson SPDay-to-day
  • Andres Munoz RPOut
  • Brock Rodden SSOut
  • Nick Davila RPOut
  • Matt Brash RPOut
  • Brendan Donovan 3BOut
  • Brennen Davis CFOut
  • Colt Emerson SSOut
  • Emerson Hancock SPOut
  • Luke Raley RFOut
  • Cole Wilcox RPOut
  • Will Wilson 3BOut
  • Logan Evans SPOut

New York Mets

  • Jared Young 1BOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut
  • Jonathan Pintaro RPOut
  • Christian Scott SPOut
  • Daniel Duarte RPOut
  • Robert Stock SPOut
  • Jorge Polanco DHOut
Availability updated Oct 5, 6:37PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 24 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability24 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Julio Rodriguez SEA Batter - Stolen Bases
Francisco Lindor NYM Batter - Hits
Cedric Mullins BAL Batter - Stolen Bases
Francisco Lindor NYM Batter - Stolen Bases
Josh Naylor ARI Batter - Stolen Bases

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York MetsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA3.2Home L53-2vs Seattle Mariners L54-1

New York Mets moneyline form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Mets run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA3.2Home L53-2vs Seattle Mariners L54-1

New York Mets spread form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Mets vs Seattle MarinersNo line posted

New York Mets total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Mets team totalNo line posted
5.3runs we expect
L5 RF5.4L5 RA3.2Home L53-2vs Seattle Mariners L54-1

New York Mets team total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.4 runs/gm.

Seattle Mariners @ New York Mets — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Seattle Mariners at New York Mets — 0 on the game itself and 5 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets — recent results

New York Mets have won 2 of their last 5 games; Seattle Mariners have won 3 of their last 5.

New York Mets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–6WSHAway
W7–1WSHAway
L6–7WSHAway
W7–2TEXAway
L1–3TEXAway
Seattle Mariners — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W8–4LAAHome
W7–3LAAHome
L5–7LAAHome
L4–6LAAHome
W6–5HOUHome

Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: New York Mets won 1, Seattle Mariners won 2.

DateNew York MetsSeattle MarinersWinner
Jun 338Seattle Mariners
Jun 371New York Mets
Jun 223Seattle Mariners

Who’s out or in doubt

24 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Mets
PlayerStatus
Jared Young 1BOUT
Reed Garrett RPOUT
Tylor Megill SPOUT
Jonathan Pintaro RPOUT
Christian Scott SPOUT
Daniel Duarte RPOUT
Robert Stock SPOUT
Jorge Polanco DHOUT
Seattle Mariners
PlayerStatus
Josh Naylor 1BOUT
Cal Raleigh COUT
Michael Toglia 1BOUT
Kade Anderson SPDAY-TO-DAY
Andres Munoz RPOUT
Brock Rodden SSOUT
Nick Davila RPOUT
Matt Brash RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Seattle Mariners @ New York Mets — model preview

Deep dive into New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Francisco Lindor. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners stats and odds.

Francisco Lindor (NYM) Over 0.5 Hits (-222)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Francisco Lindor for Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits market is a solid choice considering his recent performance data. Lindor has an impressive overall average of 1.8 hits per game in his last five games, and his performance at home is consistent with this average. His average plate appearances also indicate that he gets enough opportunities to score hits. Additionally, his current hit streaks, both overall and at home, show a pattern of consistent hitting. While his average hits against the Mariners are slightly lower, they are still above the 0.5 line. This suggests that even when facing this particular opponent, Lindor is more likely than not to achieve at least one hit. Therefore, based on Lindor's hitting averages, plate appearances, and current streaks, this bet is statistically supported.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Mariners vs Mets, or as Mets vs Mariners. The most recent game between them was Friday 15 August 2025 at Citi Field. The model has generated 5 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Seattle Mariners vs New York Mets head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
Seattle Mariners 8–4 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 8.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Wed 3 Jun 2026, New York Mets at Seattle Mariners: the Mariners won 8-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
3 Jun 2026New York Mets @ Seattle Mariners8–3Seattle Mariners
2 Jun 2026New York Mets @ Seattle Mariners3–2Seattle Mariners
1 Jun 2026New York Mets @ Seattle Mariners3–2Seattle Mariners
17 Aug 2025Seattle Mariners @ New York Mets7–3New York Mets
16 Aug 2025Seattle Mariners @ New York Mets3–1New York Mets
15 Aug 2025Seattle Mariners @ New York Mets9–11Seattle Mariners
11 Aug 2024New York Mets @ Seattle Mariners12–1Seattle Mariners
10 Aug 2024New York Mets @ Seattle Mariners4–0Seattle Mariners
9 Aug 2024New York Mets @ Seattle Mariners6–0Seattle Mariners
3 Sep 2023Seattle Mariners @ New York Mets6–3New York Mets

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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