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The latest Bet Better model pick for Cedric Mullins is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On the Batter - Stolen Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 95%, versus the book's implied 85%, for a model edge of +9.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:05PM UTC
MLB

Cedric Mullins

BAL

+9.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -588 (1.17)
+9.7% Edge
Tampa Bay Rays @ Chicago White Sox
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Thu 16 Apr, 6:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
95.1%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+9.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases95.1%—85.5%1.05+9.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Cedric Mullins (BAL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Chicago White Sox host the Tampa Bay Rays, all eyes will be on Cedric Mullins, but betting on him to steal a base is a risky proposition. The Rays’ pitching staff has been dominating lately, showcasing an impressive 3.20 ERA, which has stifled opposing offenses. Even more telling, Mullins himself has been hesitant on the base paths, with just a handful of attempts this season. The White Sox’s defense, particularly their catchers, have proven to be adept at controlling the running game, boasting one of the lower stolen base percentages allowed in the league. Plus, with Mullins averaging less than one stolen base per game, it’s hard to see him breaking through in this matchup. Given the way these teams are currently playing, betting the under on Mullins’ stolen bases feels like the right move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.517%

Cedric Mullins MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.517%
O 1.517%
O 2.517%
O 3.517%

Cedric Mullins MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.517%

Cedric Mullins MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.517%
O 1.517%

Cedric Mullins MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.517%

Cedric Mullins MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
1avg walks · L5
L2060%
O 0.570%
O 1.540%

Cedric Mullins MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games; averaging 1 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Cedric Mullins (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cedric Mullins is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.7% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Chicago White Sox on Thursday 16 April at Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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