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NCAAF

Tychaun Chapman

Memphis

Value call

Tychaun Chapman (Memphis) has one live pick today: over 2.5 receptions that pays $262 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
53 in 100
Predicted
4.3 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 53.2% · before adjusting for past results 87.1% · the book's price implies 38.2% · gap +15.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave
Fri 16 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Tychaun Chapman
over 2.5 receptions
Receptions Over 2.5 +162 (2.62) · $100→$262
Value call
LEANWins about 53 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$26.20 Odds+162
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tychaun Chapman is Over 2.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 53 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 53%, the price says 38%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 16, 3:18AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 253 of 439 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions87.1%53.2%38.2%2.81+51.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Tulane Green Wave vs Memphis Tigers: Tychaun Chapman Over 2.5 Receptions (+162)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Friday 16 October 2026, Tulane Green Wave host Memphis Tigers in college football. The bet we are looking at is Tychaun Chapman Over 2.5 Receptions. This wins if Tychaun Chapman finishes with more than 2.5 receptions. It was priced at +162 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26.20 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Tychaun Chapman's lines for Fri 16 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receptions 2.5
+162 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 games

Tychaun Chapman's receptions line is 2.5, best over price +162 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 5 of his last 10 games.

Receiving Yards 27.5
-114 best over price · 2 booksWent over in 8 of the last 10 games

Tychaun Chapman's receiving yards line is 27.5, best over price -114 across 2 books. He has gone over it in 8 of his last 10 games.

Receiving Yards 29.5
-105 best over price · 2 booksWent over in 7 of the last 10 games

Tychaun Chapman's receiving yards line is 29.5, best over price -105 across 2 books. He has gone over it in 7 of his last 10 games.

Receiving Yards 34.5

Tychaun Chapman's receiving yards line is 34.5.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tychaun Chapman (Memphis) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tychaun Chapman is Over 2.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +51.5% on this pick. Their next game is Memphis Tigers vs Tulane Green Wave on Friday 16 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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