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NCAAF

Jermane Hayes

Memphis

Value call

Jermane Hayes (Memphis) has one live pick today: over 4.5 receptions that pays $224 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
46 in 100
Predicted
4.7 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 45.9% · before adjusting for past results 55.9% · the book's price implies 44.6% · gap +1.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave
Fri 16 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Jermane Hayes
over 4.5 receptions
Receptions Over 4.5 +124 (2.24) · $100→$224
Value call
LEANWins about 46 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$22.40 Odds+124
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jermane Hayes is Over 4.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 46 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 46%, the price says 45%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 3:25PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 945 of 1,745 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions55.9%45.9%44.6%2.40+14.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games5/6

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AI Analysis

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Tulane Green Wave vs Memphis Tigers: Jermane Hayes Over 4.5 Receptions (+124)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Friday 16 October 2026, Tulane Green Wave host Memphis Tigers in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jermane Hayes Over 4.5 Receptions. This wins if Jermane Hayes finishes with more than 4.5 receptions. It was priced at +124 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.40 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Oct 26 Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave Receptions — — — Pending
16 Oct 26 Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave Receiving Yards — — — Pending
16 Oct 26 Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave Receiving Yards — — — Pending
16 Oct 26 Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave Receiving Yards — — — Pending
16 Oct 26 Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave Receiving Yards — — — Pending
16 Oct 26 Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jermane Hayes (Memphis) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jermane Hayes is Over 4.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.2% on this pick. Their next game is Memphis Tigers vs Tulane Green Wave on Friday 16 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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