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NCAAF

Manny Covey

Memphis

Value call

Manny Covey (Memphis) has one live pick today: over 28.5 rushing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
40.3 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 48.9% · before adjusting for past results 61.1% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -4.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Memphis Tigers @ South Florida Bulls
Thu 12 Nov, 8:00 PM ET
Manny Covey
over 28.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Over 28.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Manny Covey is Over 28.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 12, 10:39AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: +$6,042 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards61.1%48.9%53.2%2.00+11.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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South Florida Bulls vs Memphis Tigers: Manny Covey Over 28.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Friday 13 November 2026, South Florida Bulls host Memphis Tigers in college football. The bet we are looking at is Manny Covey Over 28.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Manny Covey finishes with more than 28.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Manny Covey's lines for Fri 13 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rushing Yards 28.5
-114 best over price · 3 books

Manny Covey's rushing yards line is 28.5, best over price -114 across 3 books.

Rushing Yards 32.5
-114 best over price · 3 books

Manny Covey's rushing yards line is 32.5, best over price -114 across 3 books.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Oct 26 Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave Rushing Yards 49.5 Under -145 ✓ HIT
16 Oct 26 Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave Rushing Yards 45.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
16 Oct 26 Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave Rushing Yards 43.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
16 Oct 26 Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Manny Covey (Memphis) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Manny Covey is Over 28.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.1% on this pick. Their next game is Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls on Thursday 12 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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