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NCAAF

Jaylin Carter

Memphis

Value call

Jaylin Carter (Memphis) has one live pick today: over 0.5 rush tds that pays $150 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
51 in 100
Predicted
0.7 Rush TDs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 51.2% · before adjusting for past results 80.0% · the book's price implies 66.7% · gap -15.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
East Carolina Pirates @ Memphis Tigers
Thu 22 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Jaylin Carter
over 0.5 rush tds
Rush TDs Over 0.5 -200 (1.50) · $100→$150
Value call
LEANWins about 51 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$15.00 Odds-200
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaylin Carter is Over 0.5 on Rush TDs.
On Rush TDs, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 51%, the price says 67%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 23, 11:13AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 835 of 1,546 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rush TDs80.0%51.2%66.7%1.95+13.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Memphis Tigers vs East Carolina Pirates: Jaylin Carter Over 0.5 Rushing Touchdowns (-200)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Thursday 22 October 2026, Memphis Tigers host East Carolina Pirates in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jaylin Carter Over 0.5 Rushing Touchdowns. This wins if Jaylin Carter finishes with more than 0.5 rushing touchdowns. It was priced at -200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15 if it lands. That price was showing at Fliff. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Oct 26 East Carolina Pirates @ Memphis Tigers Rush TDs 0.5 Over -200 ✗ MISS
22 Oct 26 East Carolina Pirates @ Memphis Tigers Rushing Yards 95.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
22 Oct 26 East Carolina Pirates @ Memphis Tigers Rushing Yards 90.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
22 Oct 26 East Carolina Pirates @ Memphis Tigers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 East Carolina Pirates @ Memphis Tigers Rushing Yards — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 East Carolina Pirates @ Memphis Tigers Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jaylin Carter (Memphis) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jaylin Carter is Over 0.5 on Rush TDs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.3% on this pick. Their next game is East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers on Thursday 22 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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