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NCAAF

Stonka Burnside

Memphis

Value call

Stonka Burnside (Memphis) has one live pick today: under 2.5 receptions that pays $198 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
48 in 100
Predicted
1.9 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 47.9% · before adjusting for past results 64.5% · the book's price implies 50.5% · gap -2.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
East Carolina Pirates @ Memphis Tigers
Thu 22 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Stonka Burnside
under 2.5 receptions
Receptions Under 2.5 -102 (1.98) · $100→$198
Value call
LEANWins about 48 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.80 Odds-102
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Stonka Burnside is Under 2.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 48%, the price says 51%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 12, 10:39AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: +$6,042 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions64.5%47.9%50.5%2.13+17.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/6

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AI Analysis

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Memphis Tigers vs East Carolina Pirates: Stonka Burnside Under 2.5 Receptions (-102)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Thursday 22 October 2026, Memphis Tigers host East Carolina Pirates in college football. The bet we are looking at is Stonka Burnside Under 2.5 Receptions. This wins if Stonka Burnside finishes with fewer than 2.5 receptions. It was priced at -102 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.80 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Oct 26 East Carolina Pirates @ Memphis Tigers Receptions — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 East Carolina Pirates @ Memphis Tigers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 East Carolina Pirates @ Memphis Tigers Receiving Yards — — — Pending
16 Oct 26 Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Stonka Burnside (Memphis) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Stonka Burnside is Under 2.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.3% on this pick. Their next game is East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers on Thursday 22 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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