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NCAAF

Jonah Burton

Duke

Value call

Jonah Burton has one live pick today: over 28.5 receiving yards that pays $185 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
47 in 100
Predicted
40.4 receiving yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 46.6% · before adjusting for past results 74.7% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap -7.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
North Carolina Tar Heels @ Duke Blue Devils
Sat 17 Oct, 3:30 PM ET
Jonah Burton
over 28.5 receiving yards
Receiving Yards Over 28.5 -118 (1.85) · $100→$185
Value call
LEANWins about 47 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.47 Odds-118
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jonah Burton is Over 28.5 on Receiving Yards.
On Receiving Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 47 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 47%, the price says 54%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 30, 1:52PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receiving Yards74.7%46.6%54.1%1.96+23.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games4/8

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AI Analysis

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Duke Blue Devils vs North Carolina Tar Heels: Jonah Burton Over 28.5 Receiving Yards (-118)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Duke Blue Devils host North Carolina Tar Heels in college football. The bet we are looking at is Jonah Burton Over 28.5 Receiving Yards. This wins if Jonah Burton finishes with more than 28.5 receiving yards. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.47 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Stanford Cardinal @ Duke Blue Devils Receiving Yards 51.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Stanford Cardinal @ Duke Blue Devils Receiving Yards 50.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Stanford Cardinal @ Duke Blue Devils Receiving Yards 49.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
17 Oct 26 North Carolina Tar Heels @ Duke Blue Devils Receiving Yards — — — Pending
17 Oct 26 North Carolina Tar Heels @ Duke Blue Devils Receiving Yards — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 Duke Blue Devils @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jonah Burton (Duke) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jonah Burton is Over 28.5 on Receiving Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.9% on this pick. Their next game is North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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