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The latest Bet Better model pick for Nate Sheppard is Under 122.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 5, 1:50AM UTC
NCAAF

Nate Sheppard

Duke

Value call

Nate Sheppard has one live pick today: Rushing Yards Under 122.5 that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Under 122.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
Stanford Cardinal @ Duke Blue Devils
Sat 19 Sep, 8:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 603 of 1,118 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
63.8 Rushing Yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 48.6% · before adjusting for past results 100.0% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -4.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards100.0%48.6%53.2%2.00+50.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games5/7

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AI Analysis

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Duke Blue Devils vs Stanford Cardinal: Nate Sheppard Under 122.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

On Saturday 19 September 2026, Duke Blue Devils host Stanford Cardinal in college football. The bet we are looking at is Nate Sheppard Under 122.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Nate Sheppard finishes with fewer than 122.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Stanford Cardinal @ Duke Blue Devils Receptions 3.5 Under -133 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Stanford Cardinal @ Duke Blue Devils Rush Attempts 24.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Stanford Cardinal @ Duke Blue Devils Receiving Yards 21.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Stanford Cardinal @ Duke Blue Devils Rushing Yards — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Stanford Cardinal @ Duke Blue Devils Rushing Yards — — — Pending
19 Sep 26 Stanford Cardinal @ Duke Blue Devils Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Nate Sheppard (Duke) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nate Sheppard is Under 122.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +50.0% on this pick. Their next game is Stanford Cardinal vs Duke Blue Devils on Saturday 19 September. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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