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NCAAF

Grady O'Neill

Sam Houston

Value call

Grady O'Neill (Sam Houston) has one live pick today: over 4.5 receptions that pays $173 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
55 in 100
Predicted
6.5 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 55.0% · before adjusting for past results 89.7% · the book's price implies 57.8% · gap -2.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Missouri State Bears
Tue 27 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Grady O'Neill
over 4.5 receptions
Receptions Over 4.5 -137 (1.73) · $100→$173
Value call
LEANWins about 55 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.30 Odds-137
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Grady O'Neill is Over 4.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 55%, the price says 58%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 10, 4:32PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: +$5,274 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions89.7%55.0%57.8%1.84+35.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Missouri State Bears vs Sam Houston State Bearkats: Grady O'Neill Over 4.5 Receptions (-137)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Wednesday 28 October 2026, Missouri State Bears host Sam Houston State Bearkats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Grady O'Neill Over 4.5 Receptions. This wins if Grady O'Neill finishes with more than 4.5 receptions. It was priced at -137 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.30 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Oct 26 Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Missouri State Bears Receptions 4.5 Over -137 ✓ HIT
27 Oct 26 Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Missouri State Bears Receiving Yards 39.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
27 Oct 26 Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Missouri State Bears Receiving Yards 46.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
27 Oct 26 Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Missouri State Bears Receiving Yards — — — Pending
21 Oct 26 New Mexico State Aggies @ Sam Houston State Bearkats Receptions — — — Pending
21 Oct 26 New Mexico State Aggies @ Sam Houston State Bearkats Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Grady O'Neill (Sam Houston) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Grady O'Neill is Over 4.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +35.3% on this pick. Their next game is Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Missouri State Bears on Tuesday 27 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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