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NCAAF

Grady O'Neill

Sam Houston

Value call

Grady O'Neill (Sam Houston) has one live pick today: over 4.5 receptions that pays $198 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
86 in 100
Predicted
6.2 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 85.9% · the book's price implies 50.5% · gap +38.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
New Mexico State Aggies @ Sam Houston State Bearkats
Wed 21 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Grady O'Neill
over 4.5 receptions
Receptions Over 4.5 -102 (1.98) · $100→$198
Value call
HIGHWins about 86 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.80 Odds-102
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Grady O'Neill is Over 4.5 on Receptions.
On Receptions, our numbers say this bet wins about 86 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 86%, the price says 51%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 21, 3:26AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 826 of 1,532 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions85.9%—50.5%2.11+38.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Sam Houston State Bearkats vs New Mexico State Aggies: Grady O'Neill Over 4.5 Receptions (-102)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Thursday 22 October 2026, Sam Houston State Bearkats host New Mexico State Aggies in college football. The bet we are looking at is Grady O'Neill Over 4.5 Receptions. This wins if Grady O'Neill finishes with more than 4.5 receptions. It was priced at -102 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.80 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Grady O'Neill's lines for Thu 22 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Receptions 4.5
+122 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 7 of the last 10 games

Grady O'Neill's receptions line is 4.5, best over price +122 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 7 of his last 10 games.

Receiving Yards 39.5
-110 best over price · 3 booksWent over in 6 of the last 10 games

Grady O'Neill's receiving yards line is 39.5, best over price -110 across 3 books. He has gone over it in 6 of his last 10 games.

Receiving Yards 41.5

Grady O'Neill's receiving yards line is 41.5.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Oct 26 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ Sam Houston State Bearkats Receiving Yards 56.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
14 Oct 26 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ Sam Houston State Bearkats Receiving Yards 53.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
14 Oct 26 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ Sam Houston State Bearkats Receiving Yards 52.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
14 Oct 26 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ Sam Houston State Bearkats Receiving Yards — — — Pending
14 Oct 26 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ Sam Houston State Bearkats Receiving Yards — — — Pending
08 Oct 26 Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Liberty Flames Receiving Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Grady O'Neill (Sam Houston) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Grady O'Neill is Over 4.5 on Receptions. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +38.4% on this pick. Their next game is New Mexico State Aggies vs Sam Houston State Bearkats on Wednesday 21 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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