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NCAAF

Fluff Bothwell

Mississippi State

Value call

Fluff Bothwell (Mississippi State) has one live pick today: over 40.5 rushing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
77.7 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 50.2% · before adjusting for past results 81.2% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap -3.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Oklahoma Sooners @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
Sat 24 Oct, 3:30 PM ET
Fluff Bothwell
over 40.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Over 40.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.77 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Fluff Bothwell is Over 40.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 12:24PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 963 of 1,780 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards81.2%50.2%53.2%2.02+31.6%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Oklahoma Sooners: Fluff Bothwell Over 40.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 24 October 2026, Mississippi State Bulldogs host Oklahoma Sooners in college football. The bet we are looking at is Fluff Bothwell Over 40.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Fluff Bothwell finishes with more than 40.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.77 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Oct 26 Oklahoma Sooners @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Rushing Yards 40.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Oklahoma Sooners @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Rushing Yards 42.5 Over -112 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Oklahoma Sooners @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Rushing Yards 44.5 Over -114 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Oklahoma Sooners @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Rushing Yards — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Oklahoma Sooners @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Receiving Yards — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Oklahoma Sooners @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Rush TDs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Fluff Bothwell (Mississippi State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Fluff Bothwell is Over 40.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +31.6% on this pick. Their next game is Oklahoma Sooners vs Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday 24 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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