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NCAAF

Fluff Bothwell

Mississippi State

Value call

Fluff Bothwell (Mississippi State) has one live pick today: over 82.5 rushing yards that pays $187 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
55 in 100
Predicted
98.9 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 54.7% · before adjusting for past results 83.4% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap +1.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs
Sat 3 Oct, 12:00 PM ET
Fluff Bothwell
over 82.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Over 82.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
Value call
LEANWins about 55 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.70 Odds-115
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Fluff Bothwell is Over 82.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 55 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 55%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 10, 9:39PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards83.4%54.7%53.5%2.00+33.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Alabama Crimson Tide: Fluff Bothwell Over 82.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

On Saturday 3 October 2026, Mississippi State Bulldogs host Alabama Crimson Tide in college football. The bet we are looking at is Fluff Bothwell Over 82.5 Rushing Yards. This wins if Fluff Bothwell finishes with more than 82.5 rushing yards. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. That price was showing at Bovada. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Oct 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Rush Attempts 18.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Missouri Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Receptions 1.5 Over +152 ✓ HIT
03 Oct 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Rushing Yards — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Receiving Yards — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Missouri Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Rushing Yards — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Missouri Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Fluff Bothwell (Mississippi State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Fluff Bothwell is Over 82.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +33.4% on this pick. Their next game is Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday 3 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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