Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
NCAAF

Arch Manning

Texas

Value call

Arch Manning (Texas) has one live pick today: under 8.5 rushing attempts that pays $177 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
49 in 100
Predicted
5.0 rushing attempts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 48.6% · before adjusting for past results 92.4% · the book's price implies 56.5% · gap -7.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Florida Gators @ Texas Longhorns
Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 PM ET
Arch Manning
under 8.5 rushing attempts
Rush Attempts Under 8.5 -130 (1.77) · $100→$177
Value call
LEANWins about 49 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.69 Odds-130
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Arch Manning is Under 8.5 on Rush Attempts.
On Rush Attempts, our numbers say this bet wins about 49 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 49%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:40AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 253 of 439 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rush Attempts92.4%48.6%56.5%2.03+41.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Texas Longhorns vs Florida Gators: Arch Manning Under 8.5 Rushing Attempts (-130)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Texas Longhorns host Florida Gators in college football. The bet we are looking at is Arch Manning Under 8.5 Rushing Attempts. This wins if Arch Manning finishes with fewer than 8.5 rushing attempts. It was priced at -130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.69 if it lands. That price was showing at Fliff. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)
Overall Hit Rate (26 picks) 57.7% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Arch Manning's lines for Sat 17 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rush Attempts 8.5
-105 best over price · 1 book

Arch Manning's rush attempts line is 8.5, best over price -105 across 1 book.

Passing Yards 255.5
-114 best over price · 2 books

Arch Manning's passing yards line is 255.5, best over price -114 across 2 books.

Completions 18.5
-105 best over price · 2 books

Arch Manning's completions line is 18.5, best over price -105 across 2 books.

Rushing Yards 21.5

Arch Manning's rushing yards line is 21.5.

Rushing Yards 22.5
-115 best over price · 1 book

Arch Manning's rushing yards line is 22.5, best over price -115 across 1 book.

Rushing Yards 24.5
-125 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 3 of the last 10 games

Arch Manning's rushing yards line is 24.5, best over price -125 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 3 of his last 10 games.

Passing Yards 244.5

Arch Manning's passing yards line is 244.5.

Passing Yards 242.5

Arch Manning's passing yards line is 242.5.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Oct 26 Texas Longhorns @ Oklahoma Sooners Rush Attempts 9.5 Under -105 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 Texas Longhorns @ Oklahoma Sooners Rush Attempts 10.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 Texas Longhorns @ Oklahoma Sooners Completions 16.5 Over -145 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 Texas Longhorns @ Oklahoma Sooners Rushing Yards — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 Texas Longhorns @ Oklahoma Sooners Passing TDs — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 Texas Longhorns @ Oklahoma Sooners Rushing Yards — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Arch Manning (Texas) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 57.7% on tracked Arch Manning picks. The latest model pick for Arch Manning is Under 8.5 on Rush Attempts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +41.6% on this pick. Their next game is Florida Gators vs Texas Longhorns on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.