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NCAAF

Arch Manning

Texas

Value call

Arch Manning (Texas) has one live pick today: under 9.5 rushing attempts that pays $187 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
93 in 100
Predicted
6.0 rushing attempts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 92.6% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap +44.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Texas Longhorns @ Missouri Tigers
Sat 7 Nov, 12:00 PM ET
Arch Manning
under 9.5 rushing attempts
Rush Attempts Under 9.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
Value call
HIGHWins about 93 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.70 Odds-115
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Arch Manning is Under 9.5 on Rush Attempts.
On Rush Attempts, our numbers say this bet wins about 93 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 93%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Nov 6, 3:53PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 385 of 683 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rush Attempts92.6%—53.5%2.07+44.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Missouri Tigers vs Texas Longhorns: Arch Manning Under 9.5 Rushing Attempts (-115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 7 November 2026, Missouri Tigers host Texas Longhorns in college football. The bet we are looking at is Arch Manning Under 9.5 Rushing Attempts. This wins if Arch Manning finishes with fewer than 9.5 rushing attempts. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. That price was showing at Fliff. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (35 picks) 54.3% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Arch Manning's lines for Sat 7 Nov

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rush Attempts 9.5
-135 best over price · 1 book

Arch Manning's rush attempts line is 9.5, best over price -135 across 1 book.

Passing TDs 1.5
+152 best over price · 5 books

Arch Manning's passing tds line is 1.5, best over price +152 across 5 books.

Rushing Yards 16.5
-114 best over price · 4 booksWent over in 5 of the last 10 games

Arch Manning's rushing yards line is 16.5, best over price -114 across 4 books. He has gone over it in 5 of his last 10 games.

Completions 18.5
-105 best over price · 2 books

Arch Manning's completions line is 18.5, best over price -105 across 2 books.

Passing Yards 207.5
-114 best over price · 3 booksWent over in 5 of the last 10 games

Arch Manning's passing yards line is 207.5, best over price -114 across 3 books. He has gone over it in 5 of his last 10 games.

Passing Yards 210.5
-114 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 5 of the last 10 games

Arch Manning's passing yards line is 210.5, best over price -114 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 5 of his last 10 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Oct 26 Ole Miss Rebels @ Texas Longhorns Rush Attempts 9.5 Under -141 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Ole Miss Rebels @ Texas Longhorns Completions 18.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Ole Miss Rebels @ Texas Longhorns Passing TDs 1.5 Under -104 ✓ HIT
24 Oct 26 Ole Miss Rebels @ Texas Longhorns Rushing Yards — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Ole Miss Rebels @ Texas Longhorns Rushing Yards — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Ole Miss Rebels @ Texas Longhorns Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Arch Manning (Texas) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 54.3% on tracked Arch Manning picks. The latest model pick for Arch Manning is Under 9.5 on Rush Attempts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +44.4% on this pick. Their next game is Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers on Saturday 7 November. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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