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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Sat 19 Sep 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Michigan State Spartans
VS
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Michigan State Spartans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 35 markets for Michigan State Spartans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish and backs Notre Dame Fighting Irish -29.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $195.

20
Game markets graded
15
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
to win by 30+ points
Notre Dame Fighting Irish -29.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$19.52Best price-105
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win41.8%
The price says49.9%

The model graded 35 markets for Michigan State Spartans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $195 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 19 Sep 2026, 7:30 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Notre Dame Fighting Irish -29.5 Lean42% chance -105
Total Points Members only Lean54% chance Members
Alt Total Points Members only Long-shot35% chance Members
Rushing Yards × 2 props Highup to 100% Members
Passing Yards × 2 props Highup to 99% Members
Receiving Yards × 7 props Highup to 89% Members
Receptions × 4 props Highup to 75% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Michigan State Spartans and Notre Dame Fighting Irish last met on Sat 19 Sep 2026: Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 27-10. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
-29.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Notre Dame Fighting IrishSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Michigan State Spartans

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Michigan State Spartans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Cam Edwards Western Illinois Rushing Yards
Alessio Milivojevic Michigan State Passing Yards
CJ Carr ND Passing Yards
Rodney Bullard Jr. Michigan State Receiving Yards
Aneyas Williams Notre Dame Rushing Yards

+ 15 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Michigan State Spartans @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish — what the model found

Our model graded 35 betting markets for Michigan State Spartans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish — 20 on the game itself and 15 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
15
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 35 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 34 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Michigan State Spartans @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish — model preview

Notre Dame Fighting Irish v Michigan State Spartans, 19 September 2026. Top of the list: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -28.5 on the Line.

On Saturday 19 September 2026, Notre Dame Fighting Irish play Michigan State Spartans in college football. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Notre Dame Fighting Irish -28.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish -28.5 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at BetUS at time of publishing

On Saturday 19 September 2026, Notre Dame Fighting Irish host Michigan State Spartans in college football. The bet we are looking at is Notre Dame Fighting Irish -28.5 Point Spread. On this line Notre Dame Fighting Irish give up 28.5 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 28.5. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at BetUS. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Michigan State Spartans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Spartans vs Irish, or as Irish vs Spartans. The most recent game between them was Saturday 19 September 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 15 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Michigan State Spartans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 19 Sep 2026Notre Dame Fighting Irish beat Michigan State Spartans 27-10 at home

Michigan State Spartans: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Wonat Michigan Wolverines 15-6
  2. 24 Oct 2026Lostat UCLA Bruins 10-28
  3. 17 Oct 2026Lostvs Northwestern Wildcats 21-24
  4. 10 Oct 2026Lostvs Illinois Fighting Illini 37-38
  5. 3 Oct 2026Lostat Wisconsin Badgers 3-31

Notre Dame Fighting Irish: last 5 results

  1. 7 Nov 2026Wonvs Miami Hurricanes 31-24
  2. 31 Oct 2026Wonat Navy Midshipmen 35-13
  3. 17 Oct 2026Lostat BYU Cougars 24-28
  4. 10 Oct 2026Wonvs Stanford Cardinal 58-7
  5. 3 Oct 2026Wonat North Carolina Tar Heels 37-26

Quick answers

Who won the last Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Michigan State Spartans game? Notre Dame Fighting Irish won their last meeting 27-10 on 19 September 2026.

How have Michigan State Spartans and Notre Dame Fighting Irish done lately? Michigan State Spartans won 1 and lost 4 of the last 5 results we hold. Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Michigan State Spartans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish: the season so far

From every final score this season

Michigan State Spartans are 3-6 this season and Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 8-1. Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 5-0 at home. Michigan State Spartans are 1-3 on the road. Notre Dame Fighting Irish score 39.3 points a game and let in 14.6. Michigan State Spartans score 19.3 and let in 23.6. Notre Dame Fighting Irish games have averaged 54 points in total; Michigan State Spartans games have averaged 43.

SeasonMichigan State SpartansNotre Dame Fighting Irish
Won-lost3-68-1
At home2-35-0
On the road1-33-1
Points scored a game19.339.3
Points let in a game23.614.6
Points scored at home27.242
Points scored away9.536.3
Against winning sides2-63-1
Current runWon 1Won 2
Biggest win35-7 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles52-0 vs Rice Owls
Heaviest loss31-3 at Wisconsin Badgers28-24 at BYU Cougars

Teams they have both played

  • Against Wisconsin Badgers: Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 41-13 at home; Michigan State Spartans lost 3-31 on the road.

Quick answers

How are Notre Dame Fighting Irish doing this season? Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 8-1 this season: 5-0 at home and 3-1 on the road.

How many points do Michigan State Spartans score a game? Michigan State Spartans score 19.3 points a game this season and let in 23.6, across 9 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Michigan State Spartans vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Sat 19 Sep 2026, Michigan State Spartans at Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Notre Dame Fighting Irish won 27-10.

DateGameScoreWinner
19 Sep 2026Michigan State Spartans @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish27–10Notre Dame Fighting Irish
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