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NCAAF

Alessio Milivojevic

Michigan State

Value call

Alessio Milivojevic (Michigan State) has one live pick today: under 5.5 rushing attempts that pays $195 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
45 in 100
Predicted
2.9 rushing attempts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 45.4% · before adjusting for past results 85.1% · the book's price implies 51.3% · gap -5.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Northwestern Wildcats @ Michigan State Spartans
Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 PM ET
Alessio Milivojevic
under 5.5 rushing attempts
Rush Attempts Under 5.5 -105 (1.95) · $100→$195
Value call
LEANWins about 45 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.52 Odds-105
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alessio Milivojevic is Under 5.5 on Rush Attempts.
On Rush Attempts, our numbers say this bet wins about 45 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 45%, the price says 51%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 17, 2:52AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf player rush yds unders: 257 of 443 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rush Attempts85.1%45.4%51.3%2.17+39.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Michigan State Spartans vs Northwestern Wildcats: Alessio Milivojevic Under 5.5 Rushing Attempts (-105)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Michigan State Spartans host Northwestern Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Alessio Milivojevic Under 5.5 Rushing Attempts. This wins if Alessio Milivojevic finishes with fewer than 5.5 rushing attempts. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.52 if it lands. That price was showing at Fliff. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Alessio Milivojevic's lines for Sat 17 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Rush Attempts 5.5
+100 best over price · 1 book

Alessio Milivojevic's rush attempts line is 5.5, best over price +100 across 1 book.

Rush Attempts 6.5
+100 best over price · 1 book

Alessio Milivojevic's rush attempts line is 6.5, best over price +100 across 1 book.

Passing TDs 0.5
-278 best over price · 1 bookWent over in 6 of the last 10 games

Alessio Milivojevic's passing tds line is 0.5, best over price -278 across 1 book. He has gone over it in 6 of his last 10 games.

Completions 15.5
-125 best over price · 2 booksWent over in 7 of the last 10 games

Alessio Milivojevic's completions line is 15.5, best over price -125 across 2 books. He has gone over it in 7 of his last 10 games.

Passing TDs 1.5
+195 best over price · 3 books

Alessio Milivojevic's passing tds line is 1.5, best over price +195 across 3 books.

Passing Yards 174.5

Alessio Milivojevic's passing yards line is 174.5.

Completions 16.5
-125 best over price · 2 booksWent over in 7 of the last 10 games

Alessio Milivojevic's completions line is 16.5, best over price -125 across 2 books. He has gone over it in 7 of his last 10 games.

Passing Yards 186.5

Alessio Milivojevic's passing yards line is 186.5.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Oct 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans Rush Attempts 5.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans Completions 15.5 Over -135 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans Completions 16.5 Over +105 ✓ HIT
10 Oct 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans Passing Yards — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans Passing TDs — — — Pending
10 Oct 26 Illinois Fighting Illini @ Michigan State Spartans Passing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Alessio Milivojevic (Michigan State) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alessio Milivojevic is Under 5.5 on Rush Attempts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +39.0% on this pick. Their next game is Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans on Saturday 17 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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