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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Sat 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Northwestern Wildcats
VS
Michigan State Spartans

Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 39 markets for Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans and backs Northwestern Wildcats -7 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $187.

17
Game markets graded
22
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Northwestern Wildcats
to win by more than 7 points
Northwestern Wildcats -7 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$18.70Best price-115
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win47.6%
The price says49.6%

The model graded 39 markets for Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $187 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Northwestern Wildcats -7 Lean48% chance -115
Moneyline Members only Long-shot16% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean47% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean48% chance Members
Rush Attempts × 4 props Highup to 99% Members
Passing TDs × 2 props Highup to 95% Members
Receiving Yards × 6 props Highup to 96% Members
Rushing Yards × 3 props Highup to 91% Members
Receptions × 2 props Highup to 76% Members
Completions × 2 props Highup to 77% Members
Passing Yards × 2 props Highup to 71% Members
Rush TDs × 1 prop Long-shotup to 34% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Northwestern Wildcats and Michigan State Spartans last met on Sat 17 Oct 2026: Northwestern Wildcats won 24-21. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Northwestern Wildcats
-7
+ 16 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Northwestern WildcatsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Michigan State SpartansMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Northwestern WildcatsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Northwestern WildcatsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Michigan State SpartansSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Michigan State SpartansSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Michigan State SpartansSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Northwestern WildcatsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Northwestern WildcatsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Northwestern Wildcats

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Michigan State Spartans

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Caleb Komolafe Northwestern Rush Attempts
Aidan Chiles Northwestern Passing TDs
Jaziun Patterson Michigan State Rush Attempts
Griffin Wilde Northwestern Receiving Yards
Jaziun Patterson Michigan State Rushing Yards

+ 22 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Northwestern Wildcats @ Michigan State Spartans — what the model found

Our model graded 39 betting markets for Northwestern Wildcats at Michigan State Spartans — 17 on the game itself and 22 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

17
Game markets graded
22
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 39 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 38 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Northwestern Wildcats @ Michigan State Spartans — model preview

Michigan State Spartans v Northwestern Wildcats, 17 October 2026. Top of the list: Over 49.5 Total Points. Our model likes 5 bets in this game.

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Michigan State Spartans play Northwestern Wildcats in college football. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 49.5 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 49.5 Total Points (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 17 October 2026, Michigan State Spartans host Northwestern Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 49.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 49.5 points between them. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.26 if it lands. That price was showing at DraftKings. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 4 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Wildcats vs Spartans, or as Spartans vs Wildcats. The most recent game between them was Saturday 17 October 2026. The model has generated 17 game picks and 22 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 17 Oct 2026Northwestern Wildcats beat Michigan State Spartans 24-21 on the road

Northwestern Wildcats: last 5 results

  1. 31 Oct 2026Lostat Oregon Ducks 26-34
  2. 24 Oct 2026Wonvs Rutgers Scarlet Knights 42-14
  3. 17 Oct 2026Wonat Michigan State Spartans 24-21
  4. 10 Oct 2026Wonvs Ball State Cardinals 45-14
  5. 2 Oct 2026Wonvs Penn State Nittany Lions 34-13

Michigan State Spartans: last 5 results

  1. 24 Oct 2026Lostat UCLA Bruins 10-28
  2. 17 Oct 2026Lostvs Northwestern Wildcats 21-24
  3. 10 Oct 2026Lostvs Illinois Fighting Illini 37-38
  4. 3 Oct 2026Lostat Wisconsin Badgers 3-31
  5. 26 Sep 2026Lostvs Nebraska Cornhuskers 13-31

Quick answers

Who won the last Michigan State Spartans vs Northwestern Wildcats game? Northwestern Wildcats won their last meeting 24-21 on 17 October 2026.

How have Northwestern Wildcats and Michigan State Spartans done lately? Northwestern Wildcats won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold. Michigan State Spartans won 0 and lost 5 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan State Spartans head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Northwestern Wildcats 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Sat 17 Oct 2026, Northwestern Wildcats at Michigan State Spartans: Northwestern Wildcats won 24-21.

DateGameScoreWinner
17 Oct 2026Northwestern Wildcats @ Michigan State Spartans21–24Northwestern Wildcats
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