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The latest Bet Better model pick for CJ Carr is Under 1.5 on Passing TDs.
On Passing TDs, our numbers say this bet wins about 44 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 44%, the price says 47%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NCAAF schedule.
Model updated Oct 5, 1:31AM UTC
NCAAF

CJ Carr

NCAAF

Value call

CJ Carr (NCAAF) has one live pick today: Passing TDs Under 1.5 that pays $214 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Passing TDs Under 1.5 +114 (2.14) · $100→$214
Value call
Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ North Carolina Tar Heels
Sat 3 Oct, 4:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls ncaaf totals overs: 603 of 1,118 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
44 in 100
Predicted
1.4 Passing TDs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 44.1% · before adjusting for past results 65.7% · the book's price implies 46.7% · gap -2.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing TDs65.7%44.1%46.7%2.30+21.7%

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$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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North Carolina Tar Heels vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish: CJ Carr Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+114)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

On Saturday 3 October 2026, North Carolina Tar Heels host Notre Dame Fighting Irish in college football. The bet we are looking at is CJ Carr Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if CJ Carr finishes with fewer than 1.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at +114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.40 if it lands. That price was showing at BetOnline. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Oct 26 Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ North Carolina Tar Heels Passing TDs 1.5 Under +114 ✗ MISS
03 Oct 26 Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ North Carolina Tar Heels Passing Yards 242.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Purdue Boilermakers Completions 17.5 Under +105 ✓ HIT
26 Sep 26 Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Purdue Boilermakers Completions — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Purdue Boilermakers Passing TDs — — — Pending
26 Sep 26 Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ Purdue Boilermakers Passing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

CJ Carr is tracked by the Bet Better model for NCAAF player prop betting. The latest model pick for CJ Carr is Under 1.5 on Passing TDs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.7% on this pick. Their next game is Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs North Carolina Tar Heels on Saturday 3 October. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NCAAF betting strategy.

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