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Model picks & player props
UL Monroe Warhawks
VS
Mississippi State Bulldogs

UL Monroe Warhawks vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 1:44PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NCAAF
Sat 5 Sep 2026, 11:30PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
UL Monroe Warhawks 23.5 Alt Spread +170

The model graded 20 markets for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Mississippi State Bulldogs (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $270 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 5 Sep 2026, 11:30PM.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win62.6%
The price says36.4%
Best price+170
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Spread UL Monroe Warhawks 23.5 High63% chance +170
Alt Spread High78% chance
Alt Spread High77% chance
Alt Spread Lean47% chance
Alt Spread High88% chance
Alt Spread Long-shot30% chance
Alt Spread High95% chance
Alt Total Points Lean49% chance
Alt Total Points Long-shot37% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

UL Monroe Warhawks and Mississippi State Bulldogs last met on Sat 5 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every NCAAF game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Over 72.5 · $100 returned $730

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NCAAF market — 198 of 367 right (ncaaf totals overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 6
Over 48.5
Clemson Tigers @ LSU Tigers
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $189
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Spread
UL Monroe Warhawks
+30.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UL Monroe WarhawksAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UL Monroe WarhawksAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UL Monroe WarhawksAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UL Monroe WarhawksAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UL Monroe WarhawksAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UL Monroe WarhawksAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UL Monroe WarhawksAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UL Monroe WarhawksAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

UL Monroe Warhawks

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For UL Monroe Warhawks vs Mississippi State Bulldogs: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 6 Sep

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs UL Monroe Warhawks Prediction & Picks: Analytics Breakdown

On Sunday 6 September 2026, Mississippi State Bulldogs play UL Monroe Warhawks in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is UL Monroe Warhawks +28.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

UL Monroe Warhawks +28.5 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at MyBookie at time of publishing

On Saturday 5 September 2026, Mississippi State Bulldogs host UL Monroe Warhawks in college football. The bet we are looking at is UL Monroe Warhawks 28.5 Point Spread. On this line UL Monroe Warhawks start with 28.5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at MyBookie. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Over 55.5 Total Points (+108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

On Saturday 5 September 2026, Mississippi State Bulldogs host UL Monroe Warhawks in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 55.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 55.5 points between them. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

UL Monroe Warhawks to Win (+2000)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

On Saturday 5 September 2026, Mississippi State Bulldogs host UL Monroe Warhawks in college football. The bet we are looking at is UL Monroe Warhawks Moneyline. This one only needs UL Monroe Warhawks to win the game. It was priced at +2000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $210 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +2000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $210 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Mississippi State Bulldogs v UL Monroe Warhawks. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

UL Monroe Warhawks @ Mississippi State Bulldogs — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for UL Monroe Warhawks at Mississippi State Bulldogs — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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UL Monroe Warhawks @ Mississippi State Bulldogs — model preview

Mississippi State Bulldogs v UL Monroe Warhawks, 6 September 2026. Top of the list: UL Monroe Warhawks +28.5 on the Line. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.

On Sunday 6 September 2026, Mississippi State Bulldogs play UL Monroe Warhawks in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is UL Monroe Warhawks +28.5 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

UL Monroe Warhawks +28.5 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at MyBookie at time of publishing

On Saturday 5 September 2026, Mississippi State Bulldogs host UL Monroe Warhawks in college football. The bet we are looking at is UL Monroe Warhawks 28.5 Point Spread. On this line UL Monroe Warhawks start with 28.5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at MyBookie. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
05 Sep 26 Alt Spread UL Monroe Warhawks +50.5 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 71.5 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 64.5 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 47.5 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 59.5 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 41.5 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 53 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 34.5 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 61 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 26 Alt Total Points Over 60.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Mississippi State Bulldogs in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Warhawks vs Bulldogs, or as Bulldogs vs Warhawks. The most recent game between them was Saturday 5 September 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Mississippi State Bulldogs 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
5 Sep 2026UL Monroe Warhawks @ Mississippi State Bulldogs62–13Mississippi State Bulldogs
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