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NBA

Deandre Ayton

Los Angeles Lakers

+24.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 24.5 -108 (1.93)
+24.0% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks
American Airlines Center, Dallas
Sun 5 Apr, 11:30PM
Model Probability
75.8%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+24.0%
Predicted Value
19.7 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Deandre Ayton (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 24.5 Points + Rebounds (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Lakers gear up to face the Mavericks, all eyes will be on Deandre Ayton, but betting on him to hit the Over on 24.5 points and rebounds feels like a stretch. In his last five games, Ayton has averaged just 12 points and 6.8 rebounds-barely reaching 20 combined. When hitting the road, those numbers dip even further to around 10.4 points and 6.2 rebounds. Against the Mavericks, he's managed only 13.8 points and 10 rebounds in recent matchups, and his away performances against them have been particularly uninspiring. With an overall hit rate of 9 out of 10 for the Under, and an impressive 11 for 11 in away games, it's clear Ayton struggles to find his rhythm outside of Phoenix. Given these trends, betting on the Under feels like a smart move as he faces a Dallas team that's tough on the boards.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 80.0% (4/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs 24.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks Points 15.5 Under -103 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Chicago Bulls @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts 13.5 Over -128 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Chicago Bulls @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
01 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Blocks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Deandre Ayton (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 80.0% (4/5). The latest model pick for Deandre Ayton is Under 24.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.0% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks on Sunday 5 April at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.