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NBA

Deandre Ayton

Los Angeles Lakers

+23.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 24.5 -110 (1.91)
+23.4% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks
American Airlines Center, Dallas
Sun 5 Apr, 11:30PM
Model Probability
75.8%
Implied Probability
52.4%
Model Edge
+23.4%
Predicted Value
19.7 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

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Deandre Ayton (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 24.5 Points + Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Lakers gear up for a showdown against the Mavericks, all eyes will be on Deandre Ayton. However, betting on him to go over 24.5 points and rebounds may not be the safest play. Recent trends suggest he's been struggling away from home, averaging just 10.4 points and 6.2 rebounds over his last five road games-well below that threshold. Against Dallas, where he's averaged only 12 points and 10 rebounds in their last matchups, the numbers simply don't favor a big night.Moreover, with an impressive 9 out of 10 hit rate for the Under in his last ten games, and a perfect 11 out of 11 away, it's clear that Ayton's current form isn't aligning with the lofty expectations set for him. With the Mavericks' defense tightening up, it's prudent to lean towards the Under on Ayton's combined points and rebounds this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 80.0% (4/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs 24.5 Under -110 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks Points 15.5 Under -103 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Chicago Bulls @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs 21.5 Over -128 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Chicago Bulls @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts — — — Pending
01 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Blocks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Deandre Ayton (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 80.0% (4/5). The latest model pick for Deandre Ayton is Under 24.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.4% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks on Sunday 5 April at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.