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Deandre Ayton

Los Angeles Lakers

Value call

Deandre Ayton (Los Angeles Lakers) has one live pick today: under 24.5 pts rebs that pays $194 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
19.7 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 75.8% · the book's price implies 51.5% · gap +24.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX · Indoor
Sun 5 Apr, 7:30 PM ET
Deandre Ayton
under 24.5 pts rebs
Pts + Rebs Under 24.5 -106 (1.94) · $100→$194
Value call
HIGHWins about 76 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$19.40 Odds-106
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Deandre Ayton is Under 24.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 76%, the price says 52%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 8:09AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs75.8%—51.5%1.32+24.3%

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AI Analysis

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Deandre Ayton (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 24.5 Points + Rebounds (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Lakers head to Dallas, all eyes will be on Deandre Ayton, but betting on him to go over 24.5 points and rebounds feels risky. Sure, he's shown flashes of brilliance, but lately, he's been more subdued, averaging just 12 points and 6.8 rebounds over his last five games. When he's away, those numbers dip even further to about 10.4 points and 6.2 rebounds-far from the mark we need. Moreover, Ayton's recent performances against the Mavericks haven't been impressive, with him averaging just 12 points in away matchups and struggling to match his rebounds. With a hit rate of 9 out of 10 for going under in his last ten outings, it's clear he's found himself in a pattern that doesn't bode well for exceeding that 24.5 threshold. In a tough road environment, it's wise to lean towards the under for Ayton.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Deandre Ayton — 2024-25 season averages

Over 40 games in the 2024-25 season, Deandre Ayton averaged 14.4 points, 10.2 rebounds and 1.6 assists in 30.3 minutes per game, shooting 56.6% from the field and 18.8% from three-point range.

14.4
PPG
10.2
RPG
1.6
APG
0.8
SPG
1.0
BPG
30.3
MPG
56.6%
FG%
18.8%
3P%

Deandre Ayton — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Deandre Ayton has played 29.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

29.2
MPG (L5)
13.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Deandre Ayton — points hit rate

Deandre Ayton has scored over 15.5 points in 54% of 264 career games.

o11.572%
o12.569%
o15.554%
o20.522%

Deandre Ayton — home vs away scoring

At home Deandre Ayton averages 15.3 points per game; on the road, 13.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

15.3
PPG at home
13.4
PPG on the road

Deandre Ayton — scoring by opponent

Deandre Ayton scores most against the WSH, averaging 21.7 points per game in that matchup.

21.7
WSH
19.6
CHI
19.1
DET
18.5
BKN
18.3
SAC
17.9
MIL

Deandre Ayton — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Deandre Ayton has averaged 17.1 points, 10.8 rebounds and 2.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
10 Feb@ DEN191000
8 Feb@ MIN326142
6 Febvs SAC311884
4 Febvs IND22892
3 Febvs PHX4225202
1 Febvs PHX332472
30 Janvs ORL352283
28 Janvs MIL3421142
21 Jan@ MIA3422152
19 Janvs CHI3715132
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs 24.5 Under -106 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks Points 15.5 Under -103 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Chicago Bulls @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs 21.5 Over -128 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Chicago Bulls @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Asts — — — Pending
28 Feb 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Blocks — — — Pending

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About This Player

Deandre Ayton (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Deandre Ayton is Under 24.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.3% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks on Sunday 5 April at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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