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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jrue Holiday is Under 3.5 on 3-Pointers.
On the 3-Pointers market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +16.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:06PM UTC
NBA

Jrue Holiday

Portland Trail Blazers

+16.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
3-Pointers Under 3.5 -164 (1.61)
+16.1% Edge
Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 1:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
78.2%
Implied Probability
62.1%
Model Edge
+16.1%
Predicted Value
2.4 3-Pointers

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
3-Pointers78.2%—62.1%1.28+16.1%

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AI Analysis

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Jrue Holiday (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 3.5 Threes Made (-164)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Portland Trail Blazers head into San Antonio, all eyes will be on Jrue Holiday's three-point shooting. While Holiday has had his moments, the numbers suggest he might struggle to hit that 3.5 mark tonight. Over his last five outings, he's averaging 5 threes made overall, but his away performance dips to 3.8. Even more telling is his history against the Spurs-just 3.3 threes made on the road. The Spurs' defense has a knack for tightening up against perimeter shooters, and with Holiday's recent form against them showing an average of only 3.2 made threes, it's clear the odds favor the under. With a hit rate of 14 out of his last 20 away games falling below this line, it feels like a smart play to bet on Holiday staying under 3.5 tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
1.2avg · last 10
L50.8Szn1.7Home1.6Away1.8Best8
1+72%
2+53%
3+26%
4+13%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.2 · hi 3 · lo 0
0320302020

Jrue Holiday is averaging 1.2 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.7, best 8). He clears 2+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
4.0avg · last 10
L54.2Szn3.9Home4.2Away3.7Best16
2+84%
4+54%
6+24%
8+6%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 4 · hi 6 · lo 2
2534563543

Jrue Holiday is averaging 4.0 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.9, best 16). He clears 4+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
13.3avg · last 10
L514.0Szn14.8Home14.8Away14.8Best59
5+99%
10+78%
15+49%
20+19%
25+9%
Game log vs O 14.5avg 13.3 · hi 19 · lo 6
61819614171915127

Jrue Holiday is averaging 13.3 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 14.8, best 59). He clears 15+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
17.3avg · last 10
L517.8Szn19.1Home19.4Away18.8Best67
9+97%
14+79%
19+53%
24+26%
29+9%
Game log vs O 18.5avg 17.3 · hi 25 · lo 8
1125238172125181411

Jrue Holiday is averaging 17.3 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 19.1, best 67). He clears 19+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
4.0avg · last 10
L53.8Szn4.2Home4.5Away4.0Best13
2+93%
4+62%
6+26%
8+4%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 4 · hi 7 · lo 2
5742346324

Jrue Holiday is averaging 4.0 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.2, best 13). He clears 4+ in 62% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
8.0avg · last 10
L58.0Szn8.1Home8.7Away7.6Best23
2+100%
5+93%
8+49%
11+18%
14+6%
Game log vs O 7.5avg 8 · hi 12 · lo 6
712768109867

Jrue Holiday is averaging 8.0 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 8.1, best 23). He clears 8+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs 3-Pointers 3.5 Under -164 ✓ HIT
07 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets Pts + Asts 24.5 Under -106 ✗ MISS
27 Feb 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Chicago Bulls Assists 5.5 Under -147 ✗ MISS
27 Feb 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Chicago Bulls Assists — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jrue Holiday (Portland Trail Blazers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jrue Holiday is Under 3.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.1% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs on Thursday 9 April at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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