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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jrue Holiday is Under 3.5 on 3-Pointers.
On 3-Pointers, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 78%, implied 62%, edge +16.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 12, 7:32PM UTC
NBA

Jrue Holiday

Portland Trail Blazers

+16.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
3-Pointers Under 3.5 -164 (1.61) · $100→$161
+16.1% Edge
Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 1:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
2.4 3-Pointers
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 78.2% · the book's price implies 62.1% · gap +16.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
3-Pointers78.2%—62.1%1.28+16.1%

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AI Analysis

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Jrue Holiday (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 3.5 Threes Made (-164)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Portland Trail Blazers head into San Antonio, all eyes will be on Jrue Holiday's three-point shooting. While Holiday has had his moments, the numbers suggest he might struggle to hit that 3.5 mark tonight. Over his last five outings, he's averaging 5 threes made overall, but his away performance dips to 3.8. Even more telling is his history against the Spurs-just 3.3 threes made on the road. The Spurs' defense has a knack for tightening up against perimeter shooters, and with Holiday's recent form against them showing an average of only 3.2 made threes, it's clear the odds favor the under. With a hit rate of 14 out of his last 20 away games falling below this line, it feels like a smart play to bet on Holiday staying under 3.5 tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jrue Holiday — 2024-25 season averages

Over 68 games in the 2024-25 season, Jrue Holiday averaged 10.9 points, 4.2 rebounds and 3.9 assists in 30.9 minutes per game, shooting 44.9% from the field and 35.2% from three-point range.

10.9
PPG
4.2
RPG
3.9
APG
1.1
SPG
0.4
BPG
30.9
MPG
44.9%
FG%
35.2%
3P%

Jrue Holiday — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jrue Holiday has played 33.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

33.6
MPG (L5)
9.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Jrue Holiday — points hit rate

Jrue Holiday has scored over 15.5 points in 49% of 945 career games.

o11.570%
o12.565%
o15.549%
o20.526%
o25.510%

Jrue Holiday — home vs away scoring

At home Jrue Holiday averages 10.7 points per game; on the road, 11.2. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

10.7
PPG at home
11.2
PPG on the road

Jrue Holiday — scoring by opponent

Jrue Holiday scores most against the IND, averaging 20.1 points per game in that matchup.

20.1
IND
20.0
BOS
19.7
MIN
18.9
ATL
18.8
UTAH
18.5
POR

Jrue Holiday — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jrue Holiday has averaged 9.3 points, 4.0 rebounds and 4.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 May@ NY34443
10 May@ NY25824
7 Mayvs NY341035
5 Mayvs NY391663
23 Aprvs ORL361146
20 Aprvs ORL33935
11 Aprvs CHA26224
8 Apr@ NY371643
6 Aprvs WSH301375
4 Aprvs PHX28452
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Feb 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Chicago Bulls Assists — — — Pending
27 Feb 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ Chicago Bulls Assists — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jrue Holiday (Portland Trail Blazers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jrue Holiday is Under 3.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.1% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs on Thursday 9 April at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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