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Tobias Harris

Detroit Pistons

Value call

Tobias Harris (Detroit Pistons) has one live pick today: over 19.5 pts rebs that pays $398 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
42 in 100
Predicted
18.1 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 42.0% · the book's price implies 25.1% · gap +16.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets
Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC · Indoor
Fri 10 Apr, 7:00 PM ET
Tobias Harris
over 19.5 pts rebs
Pts + Rebs Over 19.5 +298 (3.98) · $100→$398
Value call
LEANWins about 42 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$39.80 Odds+298
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tobias Harris is Over 19.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 42 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 42%, the price says 25%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 6:53AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs42.0%—25.1%2.38+16.8%

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AI Analysis

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Tobias Harris (Detroit Pistons) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (+298)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pistons gear up to face the Hornets, all eyes should be on Tobias Harris, especially with the points and rebounds line set at 19.5. Harris has proven to be a reliable scorer, averaging 15.4 points and 5.2 rebounds in his last five away games. When he goes up against the Hornets, he has consistently delivered, averaging nearly 19.4 points and 6.4 rebounds in their recent matchups. With a solid hit rate of 5 out of his last 8 games and 2 of 3 on the road, Harris is trending in the right direction. Plus, facing a Charlotte defense that struggles to contain versatile forwards like him, we can expect him to surpass that threshold. Given his recent form and his history against the Hornets, taking the over on 19.5 points plus rebounds feels like a savvy play in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Tobias Harris — 2024-25 season averages

Over 79 games in the 2024-25 season, Tobias Harris averaged 13.9 points, 6.1 rebounds and 2.1 assists in 32.1 minutes per game, shooting 47.7% from the field and 35.2% from three-point range.

13.9
PPG
6.1
RPG
2.1
APG
1.0
SPG
0.8
BPG
32.1
MPG
47.7%
FG%
35.2%
3P%

Tobias Harris — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Tobias Harris has played 38.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

38.4
MPG (L5)
13.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Tobias Harris — points hit rate

Tobias Harris has scored over 15.5 points in 55% of 815 career games.

o11.575%
o12.571%
o15.555%
o20.528%
o25.510%

Tobias Harris — home vs away scoring

At home Tobias Harris averages 15.1 points per game; on the road, 12.6. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

15.1
PPG at home
12.6
PPG on the road

Tobias Harris — scoring by opponent

Tobias Harris scores most against the CHA, averaging 21.4 points per game in that matchup.

21.4
CHA
20.5
GS
20.1
SAC
19.9
PHX
19.8
ATL
19.6
IND

Tobias Harris — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Tobias Harris has averaged 14.2 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
1 Mayvs NY391450
29 Apr@ NY431782
27 Aprvs NY351880
24 Aprvs NY32560
21 Apr@ NY4315131
19 Apr@ NY402560
13 Apr@ MIL10431
11 Aprvs MIL301743
10 Aprvs NY281722
2 Apr@ OKC221042
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Apr 26 Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets Pts + Rebs 19.5 Over +298 ✗ MISS
10 Apr 26 Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets Pts + Rebs 14.5 Over -125 ✗ MISS
17 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Washington Wizards Pts + Rebs 17.5 Over -123 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons Points — — — Pending
10 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Brooklyn Nets Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
07 Mar 26 Brooklyn Nets @ Detroit Pistons Pts + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tobias Harris (Detroit Pistons) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tobias Harris is Over 19.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.8% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets on Friday 10 April at Spectrum Center, Charlotte. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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