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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tobias Harris is Over 19.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On the Points + Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 42%, versus the book's implied 26%, for a model edge of +16.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 7:01AM UTC
NBA

Tobias Harris

Detroit Pistons

+16.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 19.5 +286 (3.86) · $100→$386
+16.1% Edge
Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets
Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC · Indoor
Fri 10 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
42.0%
Implied Probability
25.9%
Model Edge
+16.1%
Predicted Value
18.1 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs42.0%25.9%2.38+16.1%

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AI Analysis

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Tobias Harris (Detroit Pistons) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (+286)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pistons gear up to face the Hornets, all eyes should be on Tobias Harris, especially for those looking to cash in on the points and rebounds prop set at 19.5. Harris has been steadily improving on the road, averaging 15.4 points and 5.2 rebounds in his last five away games. But what's truly enticing is his performance against Charlotte; he's been a reliable scorer, netting around 19.4 points on average in their last five meetings.With the Hornets struggling to contain versatile forwards, Harris has the opportunity to exploit mismatches and rack up numbers. His recent hit rate is also promising, with five of his last eight outings surpassing this mark. Given that he's shown he can step up in crucial moments, expect Harris to rise to the occasion and go Over 19.5 in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
14.2avg · last 10
L513.8Szn13.9Home15.1Away12.6Best39
4+97%
9+84%
14+53%
19+18%
24+5%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 14.2 · hi 25 · lo 4
101717425155181714

Tobias Harris is averaging 14.2 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.9, best 39). He clears 14+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
15.3avg · last 10
L514.4Szn16.0Home17.1Away14.8Best41
6+95%
11+80%
16+54%
21+19%
26+3%
Game log vs O 15.5avg 15.3 · hi 25 · lo 5
121920525165181914

Tobias Harris is averaging 15.3 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 16.0, best 41). He clears 16+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
20.1avg · last 10
L521.8Szn19.9Home21.0Away18.8Best50
10+91%
15+78%
20+54%
25+29%
30+8%
Game log vs O 19.5avg 20.1 · hi 31 · lo 7
1419217312811262519

Tobias Harris is averaging 20.1 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 19.9, best 50). He clears 20+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs 18.5 Over -128 ✓ HIT
29 Nov 25 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Points 11.5 Over -132 ✓ HIT
24 Feb 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Detroit Pistons Points Pending
20 Feb 26 Detroit Pistons @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Tobias Harris (Detroit Pistons) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tobias Harris is Over 19.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.1% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets on Friday 10 April at Spectrum Center, Charlotte. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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