Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tobias Harris is Over 19.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On the Points + Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 42%, versus the book's implied 26%, for a model edge of +16.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 8:55AM UTC
NBA

Tobias Harris

Detroit Pistons

+16.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 19.5 +286 (3.86) · $100→$386
+16.1% Edge
Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets
Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC · Indoor
Fri 10 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
42.0%
Implied Probability
25.9%
Model Edge
+16.1%
Predicted Value
18.1 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs42.0%25.9%2.38+16.1%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Tobias Harris (Detroit Pistons) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (+286)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pistons gear up to face the Hornets, all eyes should be on Tobias Harris, especially for those looking to cash in on the points and rebounds prop set at 19.5. Harris has been steadily improving on the road, averaging 15.4 points and 5.2 rebounds in his last five away games. But what's truly enticing is his performance against Charlotte; he's been a reliable scorer, netting around 19.4 points on average in their last five meetings.With the Hornets struggling to contain versatile forwards, Harris has the opportunity to exploit mismatches and rack up numbers. His recent hit rate is also promising, with five of his last eight outings surpassing this mark. Given that he's shown he can step up in crucial moments, expect Harris to rise to the occasion and go Over 19.5 in this matchup.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Tobias Harris — 2024-25 season averages

Over 79 games in the 2024-25 season, Tobias Harris averaged 13.9 points, 6.1 rebounds and 2.1 assists in 32.1 minutes per game, shooting 47.7% from the field and 35.2% from three-point range.

13.9
PPG
6.1
RPG
2.1
APG
1.0
SPG
0.8
BPG
32.1
MPG
47.7%
FG%
35.2%
3P%

Tobias Harris — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Tobias Harris has played 38.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

38.4
MPG (L5)
13.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Tobias Harris — points hit rate

Tobias Harris has scored over 15.5 points in 55% of 815 career games.

o11.575%
o12.571%
o15.555%
o20.528%
o25.510%

Tobias Harris — home vs away scoring

At home Tobias Harris averages 15.1 points per game; on the road, 12.6. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

15.1
PPG at home
12.6
PPG on the road

Tobias Harris — scoring by opponent

Tobias Harris scores most against the CHA, averaging 21.4 points per game in that matchup.

21.4
CHA
20.5
GS
20.1
SAC
19.9
PHX
19.8
ATL
19.6
IND

Tobias Harris — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Tobias Harris has averaged 14.2 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
1 Mayvs NY391450
29 Apr@ NY431782
27 Aprvs NY351880
24 Aprvs NY32560
21 Apr@ NY4315131
19 Apr@ NY402560
13 Apr@ MIL10431
11 Aprvs MIL301743
10 Aprvs NY281722
2 Apr@ OKC221042
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers Pts + Rebs 18.5 Over -128 ✓ HIT
29 Nov 25 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Points 11.5 Over -132 ✓ HIT
24 Feb 26 San Antonio Spurs @ Detroit Pistons Points Pending
20 Feb 26 Detroit Pistons @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Tobias Harris (Detroit Pistons) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tobias Harris is Over 19.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.1% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets on Friday 10 April at Spectrum Center, Charlotte. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.