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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Shaedon Sharpe is Over 9.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 85 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 85%, implied 60%, edge +24.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 19, 3:00AM UTC
NBA

Shaedon Sharpe

Portland Trail Blazers

+24.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 9.5 -152 (1.66) · $100→$166
+24.3% Edge
Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Mon 20 Apr, 1:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
85 in 100
Predicted
15.4 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 84.6% · the book's price implies 60.2% · gap +24.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points84.6%60.2%1.18+24.3%

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AI Analysis

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Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers) Over 9.5 Points (-152)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When you look at Shaedon Sharpe's recent performances, it's hard to ignore the momentum he's carrying into this matchup against the Spurs. Averaging 21 points on the road over his last five games, he's clearly found his rhythm away from home. Against San Antonio, he's been even more potent, lighting them up for an average of nearly 15 points in their recent encounters.With a hit rate of 15 out of his last 19 games, confidence is on his side. He's also shown a knack for stepping up in crucial moments, hitting the over in all three of his last away games. Given that he's expected to score around 15.4 points against a Spurs defense that has struggled to contain perimeter threats, taking the over on 9.5 feels not just safe, but like smart business. Sharpe's ready to shine on the road, so let's ride this wave of scoring prowess!

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Pick History & Track Record

Shaedon Sharpe — 2024-25 season averages

Over 72 games in the 2024-25 season, Shaedon Sharpe averaged 18.5 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists in 31.2 minutes per game, shooting 45.2% from the field and 31.1% from three-point range.

18.5
PPG
4.5
RPG
2.8
APG
0.9
SPG
0.2
BPG
31.2
MPG
45.2%
FG%
31.1%
3P%

Shaedon Sharpe — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Shaedon Sharpe has played 35.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

35.4
MPG (L5)
28.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Shaedon Sharpe — home vs away scoring

At home Shaedon Sharpe averages 18.3 points per game; on the road, 18.8. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

18.3
PPG at home
18.8
PPG on the road

Shaedon Sharpe — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Shaedon Sharpe has averaged 25.3 points, 6.6 rebounds and 3.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
9 Apr@ UTAH353775
6 Aprvs SA3421106
4 Apr@ CHI351725
3 Apr@ TOR343675
1 Apr@ ATL3933103
30 Mar@ NY392373
27 Mar@ SAC312270
25 Marvs CLE401842
23 Marvs BOS382364
21 Marvs DEN392362
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Shaedon Sharpe is Over 9.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.3% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs on Monday 20 April at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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