Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bets are live / Top performing picks daily / Tracked in public — wins & losses
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Shaedon Sharpe is Over 9.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 85%, versus the book's implied 60%, for a model edge of +24.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 29, 11:20PM UTC
NBA

Shaedon Sharpe

Portland Trail Blazers

+24.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 9.5 -149 (1.67)
+24.7% Edge
Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Mon 20 Apr, 1:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
84.6%
Implied Probability
59.9%
Model Edge
+24.7%
Predicted Value
15.4 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points84.6%59.9%1.18+24.7%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers) Over 9.5 Points (-149)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When it comes to Shaedon Sharpe, the numbers tell a compelling story that makes this bet enticing. Playing away against the Spurs, he's been on a scoring tear lately, averaging a solid 21 points in his last five games on the road. It's not just the volume; he's consistently found his rhythm against the Spurs, dropping an average of 14 points in their past matchups. With a remarkable hit rate of 15 out of his last 19 games, including nailing the over in each of his last three away contests, he's proving to be a reliable scorer. Given the expected value of 15.4 points, taking the over on 9.5 seems almost like a gift. As the Trail Blazers look to Sharpe for offensive spark, this is a prime opportunity to capitalize on his scoring prowess.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
25.3avg · last 10
L528.8Szn18.5Home18.3Away18.8Best37
9+96%
14+71%
19+47%
24+18%
29+8%
Game log vs O 18.5avg 25.3 · hi 37 · lo 17
23231822233336172137

Shaedon Sharpe is averaging 25.3 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 18.5, best 37). He clears 19+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Points 9.5 Over -149 ✗ MISS

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Shaedon Sharpe is Over 9.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.7% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs on Monday 20 April at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.