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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Royce O'Neale is Under 8.5 on Rebs + Asts.
On the Rebs + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 67%, versus the book's implied 58%, for a model edge of +8.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
NBA

Royce O'Neale

Phoenix Suns

+8.2% Edge
🔥 4 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Rebs + Asts Under 8.5 -141 (1.71)
+8.2% Edge
Phoenix Suns @ Indiana Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN · Indoor
Thu 12 Mar, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
66.6%
Implied Probability
58.5%
Model Edge
+8.2%
Predicted Value
7.0 Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebs + Asts66.6%58.5%1.50+8.2%

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AI Analysis

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Royce O'Neale (Phoenix Suns) Under 8.5 Rebounds + Assists (-141)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In Thursday's showdown between the Pacers and Suns, Royce O'Neale presents an intriguing opportunity for a player prop bet on the under for combined rebounds and assists at 8.5. While O'Neale has been solid in recent games, averaging just 6.6 combined rebounds and assists in his last five outings, his away performance paints a more cautious picture. On the road, he's only managed 7.6 combined-well below our target. Against the Suns, who have tightened up defensively, O'Neale's numbers dip further with an average of 4.0 rebounds and 3.0 assists in their last encounters. With a solid 16 of his last 20 games hitting the under, it's clear that while he contributes, he often doesn't reach the heights needed for this prop. Expect him to stay under the radar once again in this matchup, making the under a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
9.5avg · last 10
L57.4Szn13.7Home13.3Away14.2Best33
4+97%
9+75%
14+45%
19+21%
24+5%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 9.5 · hi 23 · lo 3
5323918751258

Royce O'Neale is averaging 9.5 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.7, best 33). He clears 14+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
11.2avg · last 10
L59.2Szn15.9Home15.3Away16.5Best36
6+96%
11+79%
16+44%
21+24%
26+7%
Game log vs O 15.5avg 11.2 · hi 25 · lo 3
6325122010614511

Royce O'Neale is averaging 11.2 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.9, best 36). He clears 16+ in 44% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.4avg · last 10
L54.0Szn6.8Home6.9Away6.8Best21
1+100%
4+88%
7+43%
10+19%
13+7%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 4.4 · hi 8 · lo 3
3346853336

Royce O'Neale is averaging 4.4 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.8, best 21). He clears 7+ in 43% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Feb 26 Orlando Magic @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts 17.5 Under -130 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Royce O'Neale (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Royce O'Neale is currently on a 4-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Royce O'Neale is Under 8.5 on Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.2% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers on Thursday 12 March at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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