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The latest Bet Better model pick for Precious Achiuwa is Over 11.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 51%, for a model edge of +24.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
NBA

Precious Achiuwa

Sacramento Kings

+24.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 11.5 -105 (1.95)
+24.5% Edge
Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors
Chase Center, San Francisco, CA · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
75.7%
Implied Probability
51.3%
Model Edge
+24.5%
Predicted Value
15.5 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points75.7%—51.3%1.32+24.5%

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AI Analysis

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Precious Achiuwa (Sacramento Kings) Over 11.5 Points (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to betting on Precious Achiuwa to score over 11.5 points against the Warriors, the numbers paint a promising picture. Achiuwa has been on an impressive run, averaging 16 points over his last five games, and even more striking is his consistency away from home, where he's dropped nearly 20 points per game recently. Matchups matter, and he's shown he can exploit the Kings' defense, averaging 3.8 points against them in previous encounters, but on the road, that number jumps to 7.2. With a hit rate of 7 out of his last 8 games, Achiuwa is in prime form. Given the Warriors' pace and style, expect him to have ample opportunities to score. With an expected stat value of 15.55, this bet feels not just reasonable but downright enticing. Take the over and watch him shine on the big stage!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
0.7avg · last 10
L50.4Szn0.9Home1.0Away0.9Best5
1+53%
3+8%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.7 · hi 3 · lo 0
0110302000

Precious Achiuwa is averaging 0.7 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.9, best 5). He clears 1+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
7.3avg · last 10
L54.8Szn6.4Home6.5Away6.3Best27
1+87%
6+50%
11+20%
16+7%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 7.3 · hi 18 · lo 0
10213618018060

Precious Achiuwa is averaging 7.3 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 6.4, best 27). He clears 6+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
12.1avg · last 10
L58.4Szn11.8Home12.0Away11.5Best40
2+95%
7+78%
12+45%
17+20%
22+12%
Game log vs O 11.5avg 12.1 · hi 28 · lo 0
121119928627270

Precious Achiuwa is averaging 12.1 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 11.8, best 40). He clears 12+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
4.8avg · last 10
L53.6Szn5.3Home5.5Away5.2Best22
1+97%
3+77%
5+55%
7+30%
9+22%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 4.8 · hi 10 · lo 0
29631069210

Precious Achiuwa is averaging 4.8 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.3, best 22). He clears 5+ in 55% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors Points 11.5 Over -105 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors Pts + Rebs 18.5 Over -105 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Sacramento Kings Rebounds 8.5 Under +104 ✗ MISS
26 Feb 26 Sacramento Kings @ Houston Rockets Points — — — Pending
24 Feb 26 Sacramento Kings @ Memphis Grizzlies Assists — — — Pending
24 Feb 26 Sacramento Kings @ Memphis Grizzlies Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Precious Achiuwa (Sacramento Kings) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Precious Achiuwa is Over 11.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.5% on this pick. Their next game is Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors on Wednesday 8 April at Chase Center, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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