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NBA

Mark Williams

Phoenix Suns

+15.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 15.5 +118 (2.18)
+15.5% Edge
Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City
Sun 19 Apr, 7:30PM
Model Probability
61.4%
Implied Probability
45.9%
Model Edge
+15.5%
Predicted Value
17.5 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

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Mark Williams (Phoenix Suns) Over 15.5 Points + Rebounds (+118)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Oklahoma City Thunder, Mark Williams stands out as a prime candidate to exceed 15.5 combined points and rebounds. Recent performances tell a compelling story: Williams has been a force away from home, averaging nearly 11 points and 9.5 rebounds in his last five games on the road. Against the Thunder, his past matchups show he's consistently found a rhythm, averaging 11 points and 7.2 rebounds. With the Suns relying on him to provide a spark, he's rapidly turned into a reliable contributor, hitting this mark in four of his last six games overall, and impressively, five out of six on the road. As the stakes rise, expect Williams to step up. With an expected stat value of 17.5, it feels like a no-brainer to take the over on his points and rebounds tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 80.0% (4/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds 10.5 Under -417 ✓ HIT
08 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds 7.5 Under -102 ✗ MISS
05 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Chicago Bulls Rebounds 10.5 Under -417 ✓ HIT
05 Apr 26 Phoenix Suns @ Chicago Bulls Pts + Rebs Pending
21 Feb 26 Orlando Magic @ Phoenix Suns Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Mark Williams (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 80.0% (4/5). The latest model pick for Mark Williams is Over 15.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.5% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday 19 April at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.