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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mark Williams is Over 15.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 61%, implied 45%, edge +16.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 7:10PM UTC
NBA

Mark Williams

Phoenix Suns

+16.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 15.5 +122 (2.22) · $100→$222
+16.3% Edge
Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 7:30PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Williams (foot) plans to sign a three-year, $38 million contract to remain with the Suns, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
updated Jun 26, 12:10AM UTC · 66d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
17.5 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 61.4% · the book's price implies 45.0% · gap +16.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs61.4%—45.0%1.63+16.3%

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AI Analysis

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Mark Williams (Phoenix Suns) Over 15.5 Points + Rebounds (+122)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we gear up for the Suns' clash against the Thunder, Mark Williams presents a tantalizing opportunity for the Over on his combined points and rebounds. Despite averaging just over 11 points and nearly 6 rebounds lately, his away performances tell a different tale. When playing on the road, he steps up, averaging 10.8 points and an impressive 7.2 rebounds. Against the Thunder, his numbers trend even higher-11 points and 9.5 rebounds in his last away matchup. With the Suns looking to secure a crucial win, expect Williams to be a focal point in their game plan. His recent form shows he's hit this Over in 5 of his last 6 away games, and with an expected stat value of 17.5, it seems like a perfect moment to cash in on his potential. Look for him to rise to the occasion and deliver a standout performance.

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Pick History & Track Record

Mark Williams — 2024-25 season averages

Over 44 games in the 2024-25 season, Mark Williams averaged 15.3 points, 10.2 rebounds and 2.5 assists in 26.6 minutes per game, shooting 60.4% from the field and 0.0% from three-point range.

15.3
PPG
10.2
RPG
2.5
APG
0.7
SPG
1.2
BPG
26.6
MPG
60.4%
FG%
0.0%
3P%

Mark Williams — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Mark Williams has played 30.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

30.4
MPG (L5)
14.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Mark Williams — home vs away scoring

At home Mark Williams averages 13.2 points per game; on the road, 17.3. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

13.2
PPG at home
17.3
PPG on the road

Mark Williams — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Mark Williams has averaged 13.7 points, 10.2 rebounds and 2.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
11 Apr@ BOS2410122
8 Aprvs MEM31872
6 Aprvs CHI312292
2 Apr@ IND3216121
31 Marvs UTAH3418131
28 Mar@ TOR2918125
25 Marvs ORL288134
23 Mar@ MIA281451
20 Marvs NY3119144
18 Marvs ATL23455
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Mark Williams (Phoenix Suns) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mark Williams is Over 15.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.3% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday 19 April at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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