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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kris Murray is Over 9.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 47 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 47%, implied 24%, edge +23.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 5:21PM UTC
NBA

Kris Murray

Portland Trail Blazers

+23.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 9.5 +322 (4.22) · $100→$422
+23.7% Edge
Portland Trail Blazers @ Denver Nuggets
Ball Arena, Denver, CO · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 1:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
47 in 100
Predicted
9.0 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 47.4% · the book's price implies 23.7% · gap +23.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs47.4%23.7%2.11+23.7%

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AI Analysis

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Kris Murray (Portland Trail Blazers) Over 9.5 Points + Rebounds (+322)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets take on the Portland Trail Blazers, Kris Murray is an intriguing player to watch for our prop bet. Despite averaging 4.8 points and 3 rebounds over his last five games, the narrative shifts when we consider his performance on the road. He's been more effective away, boosting his scoring to 6.2 points per game and grabbing an average of 3.6 rebounds. The matchup against the Blazers, who have struggled defensively, could provide the perfect opportunity for him to elevate his game. Historically, he's put up around 4.4 points against Portland, which, while modest, hints at his potential to exceed that mark when you account for his recent uptick in production on the road. With a solid hit rate of 3 out of the last 5 games, betting on Murray to go over 9.5 points plus rebounds feels like a savvy play in this enticing matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Kris Murray — 2024-25 season averages

Over 69 games in the 2024-25 season, Kris Murray averaged 4.2 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.0 assists in 15.1 minutes per game, shooting 41.9% from the field and 22.5% from three-point range.

4.2
PPG
2.6
RPG
1.0
APG
0.5
SPG
0.2
BPG
15.1
MPG
41.9%
FG%
22.5%
3P%

Kris Murray — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Kris Murray has played 29.6 minutes per game and started 40% of them.

29.6
MPG (L5)
9.8
PPG (L5)
40%
Started

Kris Murray — home vs away scoring

At home Kris Murray averages 4.2 points per game; on the road, 4.1. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

4.2
PPG at home
4.1
PPG on the road

Kris Murray — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Kris Murray has averaged 4.9 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Aprvs LAL3010113
11 Aprvs GS36764
9 Apr@ UTAH22633
6 Aprvs SA331854
4 Apr@ CHI27852
3 Apr@ TOR14010
1 Apr@ ATL12010
30 Mar@ NY5010
27 Mar@ SAC6000
23 Marvs BOS5010
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kris Murray (Portland Trail Blazers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kris Murray is Over 9.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.7% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets on Tuesday 7 April at Ball Arena, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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