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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Keegan Murray is Over 0.5 on Blocks.
On Blocks, our numbers say this bet wins about 83 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 83%, implied 77%, edge +6.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 8:23PM UTC
NBA

Keegan Murray

Sacramento Kings

+6.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Blocks Over 0.5 -333 (1.30) · $100→$130
+6.5% Edge
Sacramento Kings @ Houston Rockets
Toyota Center, Houston, TX · Indoor
Thu 26 Feb, 1:00AM
DAY-TO-DAY
Murray (ankle) is projected to start at power forward for the Kings in 2026-27, according to Kings beat writer Chris Watkins.
updated Jul 31, 3:26PM UTC · 31d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
83 in 100
Predicted
1.2 Blocks
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 83.4% · the book's price implies 76.9% · gap +6.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Blocks83.4%76.9%1.20+6.5%

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AI Analysis

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Keegan Murray (Sacramento Kings) Over 0.5 Blocks (-333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we set our sights on the Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings game this Thursday, one name leaps off the stat sheet - Keegan Murray. This dynamic player has been swatting shots away like a man possessed, averaging 1.4 blocks over his last five games, both overall and on the road. Sure, his record against the Rockets doesn't seem quite as impressive, but let's not forget Murray is on the road in this one. And when he's away from home, he's always looking to make his presence felt, often in the form of a well-timed block. The point here is simple: Murray's block stats have been consistently exceeding the over/under threshold set by DraftKings. So, if you're looking for a prop bet with solid potential, Murray to register over 0.5 blocks in this game is a pretty convincing pick. He's been there, done that, and continues to do so.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Keegan Murray — 2024-25 season averages

Over 77 games in the 2024-25 season, Keegan Murray averaged 12.4 points, 6.7 rebounds and 1.4 assists in 34.3 minutes per game, shooting 44.3% from the field and 34.3% from three-point range.

12.4
PPG
6.7
RPG
1.4
APG
0.8
SPG
0.9
BPG
34.3
MPG
44.3%
FG%
34.3%
3P%

Keegan Murray — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Keegan Murray has played 30.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

30.2
MPG (L5)
9.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Keegan Murray — home vs away scoring

At home Keegan Murray averages 12.3 points per game; on the road, 12.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

12.3
PPG at home
12.4
PPG on the road

Keegan Murray — scoring by opponent

Keegan Murray scores most against the UTAH, averaging 18.7 points per game in that matchup.

18.7
UTAH
18.5
OKC
14.5
LAC
14.0
HOU
12.5
MIN
12.5
PHX

Keegan Murray — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Keegan Murray has averaged 12.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.2 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
16 Aprvs DAL36962
13 Aprvs PHX23672
11 Aprvs LAC32981
4 Apr@ CHA25532
2 Apr@ WSH351853
31 Mar@ IND361270
29 Mar@ ORL30930
27 Marvs POR331771
25 Marvs OKC372860
24 Marvs BOS361351
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Feb 26 Sacramento Kings @ Houston Rockets Blocks 0.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
24 Feb 26 Sacramento Kings @ Memphis Grizzlies Pts + Asts 18.5 Under -128 ✓ HIT
22 Feb 26 Sacramento Kings @ San Antonio Spurs Rebounds 4.5 Over -156 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Keegan Murray (Sacramento Kings) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Keegan Murray is Over 0.5 on Blocks. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.5% on this pick. Their next game is Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets on Thursday 26 February at Toyota Center, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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