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The latest Bet Better model pick for Noah Clowney is Under 4.5 on Rebounds.
On the Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 66%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +3.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
NBA

Noah Clowney

Brooklyn Nets

+3.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 4.5 -167 (1.60)
+3.3% Edge
Brooklyn Nets @ Philadelphia 76ers
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA · Indoor
Sat 14 Mar, 5:00PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Clowney (ankle) is likely to move into a reserve role after the Nets acquired Julius Randle prior to Tuesday's draft.
updated Jun 24, 7:34PM UTC · 26d old
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Model Probability
65.8%
Implied Probability
62.5%
Model Edge
+3.3%
Predicted Value
3.5 Rebounds

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds65.8%62.5%1.52+3.3%

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AI Analysis

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Noah Clowney (Brooklyn Nets) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-167)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Noah Clowney steps onto the court in Philadelphia, the odds seem to be tipping against him for rebounds. Averaging just 3.2 boards over his last five games-a number that doesn't change when he's on the road-Clowney faces a daunting challenge against the 76ers. While he's had some success against this opponent previously, with an average of 4.7 rebounds, his performances away from home tell a different story; he's only managed 4 boards in those matchups. With a solid hit rate of 6 out of his last 9 games, expectations might seem high, but these numbers suggest a regression is likely. Given the 76ers' formidable rebounding presence, it's reasonable to expect Clowney to fall short of that 4.5 mark. Betting the under on his rebounds feels like a smart play, particularly considering the statistics are aligning against him.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
1.5avg · last 10
L51.4Szn1.9Home1.7Away2.0Best6
1+80%
2+50%
3+33%
4+15%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.5 · hi 3 · lo 0
2033011113

Noah Clowney is averaging 1.5 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.9, best 6). He clears 2+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
11.4avg · last 10
L512.6Szn13.1Home12.9Away13.1Best35
3+100%
8+74%
13+50%
18+24%
23+11%
Game log vs O 12.5avg 11.4 · hi 24 · lo 3
74241331310121018

Noah Clowney is averaging 11.4 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.1, best 35). He clears 13+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
12.4avg · last 10
L514.0Szn13.9Home13.9Away13.9Best38
4+100%
9+70%
14+48%
19+24%
24+11%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 12.4 · hi 24 · lo 4
75241441411141219

Noah Clowney is averaging 12.4 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.9, best 38). He clears 14+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
3.7avg · last 10
L54.8Szn3.9Home4.2Away3.8Best10
2+93%
4+61%
6+17%
8+2%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 3.7 · hi 6 · lo 1
1451235655

Noah Clowney is averaging 3.7 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.9, best 10). He clears 4+ in 61% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
01 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Brooklyn Nets Rebounds 4.5 Under -161 ✓ HIT
28 Feb 26 Brooklyn Nets @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs + Asts 17.5 Under -128 ✓ HIT
20 Feb 26 Brooklyn Nets @ Cleveland Cavaliers 3-Pointers 1.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
19 Dec 25 Miami Heat @ Brooklyn Nets 3-Pointers Pending
19 Dec 25 Miami Heat @ Brooklyn Nets Rebounds Pending
29 Nov 25 Philadelphia 76ers @ Brooklyn Nets Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Noah Clowney (Brooklyn Nets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Noah Clowney is Under 4.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.3% on this pick. Their next game is Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers on Saturday 14 March at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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