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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jalen Wilson is Under 13.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 85%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +32.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 8:54AM UTC
NBA

Jalen Wilson

Brooklyn Nets

+32.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 13.5 -112 (1.89) · $100→$189
+32.5% Edge
Milwaukee Bucks @ Brooklyn Nets
Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
85.4%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+32.5%
Predicted Value
7.4 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points85.4%52.9%1.17+32.5%

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AI Analysis

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Jalen Wilson (Brooklyn Nets) Under 13.5 Points (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Jalen Wilson's scoring against the Milwaukee Bucks has been less than inspiring, with an average of just 7.6 points in their last five clashes. As the Nets gear up for this matchup at home, it's worth noting that Wilson has consistently struggled, averaging only 11.6 points over his last five games, a number that dips to 7.8 when the Bucks come to town. With an impressive hit rate of 16 out of 20 attempts under this threshold, it's clear he's been kept in check when facing tougher defenses. The Bucks are known for their defensive prowess, which could further stifle Wilson's scoring opportunities. Given these factors, betting on him to stay under 13.5 points feels like a strong play. With the odds favoring this outcome, it's a calculated risk that aligns with the recent trends.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jalen Wilson — 2024-25 season averages

Over 79 games in the 2024-25 season, Jalen Wilson averaged 9.5 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.8 assists in 25.7 minutes per game, shooting 39.7% from the field and 33.7% from three-point range.

9.5
PPG
3.4
RPG
1.8
APG
0.5
SPG
0.1
BPG
25.7
MPG
39.7%
FG%
33.7%
3P%

Jalen Wilson — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jalen Wilson has played 29.4 minutes per game and started 80% of them.

29.4
MPG (L5)
14.6
PPG (L5)
80%
Started

Jalen Wilson — home vs away scoring

At home Jalen Wilson averages 9.6 points per game; on the road, 9.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

9.6
PPG at home
9.4
PPG on the road

Jalen Wilson — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jalen Wilson has averaged 13.2 points, 5.1 rebounds and 2.2 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Aprvs NY381844
11 Apr@ MIN351493
10 Aprvs ATL242043
8 Aprvs NO21943
31 Mar@ DAL291244
29 Mar@ WSH232073
28 Marvs LAC28872
26 Marvs TOR271040
24 Marvs DAL18820
22 Mar@ IND231360
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jalen Wilson (Brooklyn Nets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jalen Wilson is Under 13.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +32.5% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets on Tuesday 7 April at Barclays Center, Brooklyn. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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